MWC: Boise State vs San Diego State 9/30/22 College Football Picks, Predictions, Odds

The Boise State Broncos and San Diego State Aztecs clash Friday night in a week 5 MWC college football game at Albertsons Stadium. The San Diego State Aztecs look to get a game above a .500 record. The Boise State Broncos also look to improve to 3-2 on the season. 

The San Diego State Aztecs have won 5 of their last 6 road games. Braxton Burmeister is completing 53.1 percent of his passes for 230 yards, 2 touchdowns and 2 interceptions. Jesse Matthews and Tyrell Shavers have combined for 133 receiving yards and 2 touchdowns, while Mark Redman has 6 receptions. The San Diego State Aztecs ground game is averaging 220 yards per contest, and Jordan Byrd leads the way with 224 yards and 3 touchdowns. Defensively, San Diego State is allowing 23.5 points and 393.3 yards per game. Michael Shawcroft leads the San Diego State Aztecs with 29 tackles, Garret Fountain has 2 sacks and Davaughn Celestine has 1 interception.

The Boise State Broncos have won 4 of their last 7 home games. Hank Bachmeier is completing 54.3 percent of his passes for 497 yards, 6 touchdowns and 3 interceptions. Latrell Caples and Stefan Cobbs have combined for 228 receiving yards and 4 touchdowns, while George Holani has 11 receptions. The Boise State Broncos ground game is averaging 120.3 yards per contest, and George Holani leads the way with 261 yards and 1 touchdown. Defensively, Boise State is allowing 20.5 points and 266.8 yards per game. DJ Schramm leads the Boise State Broncos with 33 tackles, George Tarlas has 2 sacks and JL Skinner has 1 interception.

The Aztecs are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 road games and 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 games overall. The Broncos are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games and 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The under is 35-16-1 in Aztecs last 52 games overall. The under is 10-1 in Broncos last 11 games overall. The Aztecs are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings. The underdog is 7-0 ATS in their last 7 meetings.

The Boise State Broncos are going to be favored more times than not at home, but they’ve been shaky at best through 4 games and their offense has been nonexistent. The San Diego State Aztecs aren’t as good defensively as they’ve been in years past, but they’re still an average unit, and they have a top-20 rushing offense. It’s not always pretty, but SDSU can grind games out and are still a physical team. Boise State needs to find some offense before I can lay chalk, even at home. Boise State is 122nd in total offense and 107th in scoring offense. Give me the points with the Aztecs.