Big 12: Kansas vs Iowa State 10/1/22 College Football Picks, Predictions, Odds

The Kansas Jayhawks and Iowa State Cyclones clash Saturday in Big 12 week 5 college football action at David Booth Kansas Memorial Stadium. The Iowa State Cyclones look to build on their 3-1 record. The Kansas Jayhawks look for their first 5-0 start since the 2009 season.

The Iowa State Cyclones have lost 4 of their last 6 road games. Hunter Dekkers is completing 71.6 percent of his passes for 1,029 yards, 10 touchdowns and 5 interceptions. Xavier Hutchinson and Jaylin Noel have combined for 600 receiving yards and 5 touchdowns, while Sean Shaw Jr. has 8 receptions. The Iowa State Cyclones ground game is averaging 133.5 yards per contest, and Jirehl Brock leads the way with 353 yards and 2 touchdowns. Defensively, Iowa State is allowing 14.5 points and 266 yards per game. O’Rien Vance leads the Iowa State Cyclones with 22 tackles, Gerry Vaughn has 1.5 sacks and Colby Reeder has 2 interceptions.

The Kansas Jayhawks have lost 5 of their last 8 home games. Jalon Daniels is completing 71 percent of his passes for 890 yards, 11 touchdowns and 1 interception. Lawrence Arnold and Luke Grimm have combined for 356 receiving yards and 3 touchdowns, while Quentin Skinner has 7 receptions. The Kansas Jayhawks ground game is averaging 245.5 yards per contest, and Daniels leads the way with 320 yards and 4 touchdowns. Defensively, Kansas is allowing 27.3 points and 400 yards per game. Rich Miller leads the Kansas Jayhawks with 31 tackles, Lonnie Phelps has 4 sacks and Cobee Bryant has 1 interception.

The Cyclones are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 conference games and 19-6-1 ATS in their last 26 games in October. The Jayhawks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games and 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games overall. The under is 18-8-1 in Cyclones last 27 road games. The over is 19-7-1 in Jayhawks last 27 games overall. The Cyclones are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings. The favorite is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.

The Iowa State Cyclones are not only the more talented, deeper team, but their offensive issues should be fixed here. As well as the Kansas Jayhawks have played, they’re ranked 88th in total defense, 99th in passing defense and 83rd in scoring defense. Iowa State should finally find some consistent offensive success here. Look, I’ve said the last couple of years that Kansas is an improved football team, and there’s value in the underdog role. This just feels like a bad matchup for the Jayhawks.