New Mexico State Aggies (6-6) vs Bowling Green Falcons (6-6)
December 26, 2022 2:30 pm EDT
The Line: Bowling Green Falcons -2.5 / New Mexico State Aggies +2.5; Over/Under: 47.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The New Mexico State Aggies and Bowling Green Falcons meet Monday in the college football Quick Lane Bowl at Ford Field. The New Mexico State Aggies have won 5 of their last 6 games. The Bowling Green Falcons have won 4 of their last 6 games.
The New Mexico State Aggies have won 4 of their last 6 non-home games. Diego Pavia is completing 52.2 percent of his passes for 1,283 yards, 11 touchdowns and 5 interceptions. Justice Powers and Kordell David have combined for 687 receiving yards and 5 touchdowns, while Jonathan Brady has 19 receptions. The New Mexico State Aggies ground game is averaging 156.3 yards per contest, and Star Thomas leads the way with 477 yards and 5 touchdowns. Defensively, New Mexico State is allowing 24.3 points and 343.3 yards per game. Chris Ojoh leads the New Mexico State Aggies with 101 tackles, Lazarus Williams has 7.5 sacks and Syrus Dumas has 2 interceptions.
The Bowling Green Falcons have split their last 6 non-home games. Matt McDonald is completing 61.3 percent of his passes for 2,639 yards, 22 touchdowns and 8 interceptions. Odieu Hiliare and Tyrone Broden have combined for 1,177 receiving yards and 12 touchdowns, while Christian Sims has 41 receptions. The Bowling Green Falcons ground game is averaging 101 yards per contest, and Jaison Patterson leads the way with 560 yards and 1 touchdown. Defensively, Bowling Green is allowing 33.3 points and 420.7 yards per game. Chris Bacon leads the Bowling Green Falcons with 77 tackles, Karl Brooks has 10 sacks and DJ Taylor has 2 interceptions.
The Aggies are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall. The Falcons are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 bowl games and 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 non-conference games. The over is 4-0 in Aggies last 4 games overall. The over is 6-1 in Falcons last 7 neutral site games.
The New Mexico State Aggies are playing their best ball of the season right now, but a lot of those wins came against subpar teams and their offense still stalls more times than not. The Bowling Green Falcons are a below average team at both ends of the field, but they’ve had success against better teams and McDonald is good enough at quarterback to put points on the board. Not excited about either side, but Bowling Green should win this game.