College Football

Frisco Bowl: Boise State vs North Texas 12/17/22 College Football Picks, Predictions, Odds

North Texas Mean Green (7-6) vs Boise State Broncos (9-4)
December 17, 2022 9:15 pm EDT
The Line: Boise State Broncos -9.5 / North Texas Mean Green +9.5; Over/Under: 57.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Boise State Broncos and North Texas Mean Green square off Saturday night in the college football Frisco Bowl at Toyota Stadium. The North Texas Mean Green have split their last 10 games. The Boise State Broncos look for double-digit wins for the 18th time in school history.

The North Texas Mean Green have lost 5 of their last 6 non-home games. Austin Aune is completing 56.7 percent of his passes for 3,309 yards, 32 touchdowns and 13 interceptions. Roderic Burns and Jyaire Shorter have combined for 1,248 receiving yards and 11 touchdowns, while Var’Keyes Gumms has 33 receptions. The North Texas Mean Green ground game is averaging 200.1 yards per contest, and Ayo Adeyi leads the way with 740 yards and 4 touchdowns. Defensively, North Texas is allowing 31.5 points and 456.3 yards per game. KD Davis leads the North Texas Mean Green with 132 tackles, Mazin Richards has 7.5 sacks and Ridge Texada has 3 interceptions.

The Boise State Broncos have won 3 straight non-home games. Tayen Green is completing 61.4 percent of his passes for 1,905 yards, 13 touchdowns and 6 interceptions. Latrell Caples and Billy Bowens have combined for 910 receiving yards and 8 touchdowns, while Stefan Cobbs has 29 receptions. The Boise State Broncos ground game is averaging 187 yards per contest, and George Holani leads the way with 1,133 yards and 10 touchdowns. Defensively, Boise State is allowing 18.5 points and 281.4 yards per game. DJ Schramm leads the Boise State Broncos with 97 tackles, Ezekiel Noa has 4.5 sacks and JL Skinner has 4 interceptions.

The Mean Green are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games and 6-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. The Broncos are 8-2-2 ATS in their last 12 games on grass and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games in December. The over is 8-3 in Mean Green last 11 games overall. The under is 14-6 in Broncos last 20 games overall.

The Boise State Broncos are the more talented team, but they’ve been up and down this season and their offense has had issues finishing drives at times. The North Texas Mean Green have issues defensively, but they’re one of the most balanced offenses in the country, and you get the feeling they’ll be motivated for this game. It’s also pretty much a home game, with it taking place in Frisco, which is a 35-minute car ride from Denton. I expect a lot of green in the stands. Give me the points.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: North Texas Mean Green +9.5

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA and is more than familiar with what it takes to navigate a 150 game college basketball Saturday and a 162 game MLB schedule. Randy has done it all. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter or catch him on the PickDawgz YouTube channel.

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