Ole Miss vs Mississippi State 11/24/22 College Football Picks, Predictions, Odds

The Mississippi State Bulldogs and the Ole Miss Rebels meet in college football action from Vaught-Hemingway Stadium on Thursday night.

The Mississippi State Bulldogs come into this game looking to build on a 56-7 win over East Tennessee State last time out. Will Rogers has thrown for 3,474 yards, 32 touchdowns and 5 interceptions on 68.1% passing while Jo’quavious Marks has 456 rushing yards and 8 touchdowns this season. Dillon Johnson has 415 rushing yards as well while Rara Thomas has 599 receiving yards to lead Mississippi State with 6 touchdowns and Caleb Ducking has 42 receptions and 8 touchdowns along with 450 receiving yards. Rufus Harvey and Lideatrick Griffin each have 400+ receiving yards while five other receivers each have 200+ receiving yards this season. Nathaniel Watson has a team-high 98 total tackles along with 4 sacks while Jett Johnson has 93 total tackles and Tyrus Wheat has a team-high 5 sacks. Emmanuel Forbes also has a team-high 6 sacks this season.

The Ole Miss Rebels will try to bounce back from a 42-27 loss to Arkansas in their last game. Jaxson Dart has thrown for 2,363 yards, 16 touchdowns and 8 interceptions on 60.4% passing while Quinshon Judkins has a team-high 1,385 rushing yards and 16 TDs and Zach Evans has 899 rushing yards with 8 scores. Jonathan Mingo has a team-high 768 receiving yards coming on 41 receptions with 5 TDs and Malik Heath has a team-high 47 catches for 754 yards and 4 TD grabs this season. On defense, Troy Brown has a team-high 77 total tackles while Ole Miss’ unit as a whole has 29 sacks this season.

Mississippi State is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 conference games and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games after scoring 40 points or more in the previous games while the under is 5-0 in their last 5 road games. Ole Miss is 2-6 ATS in their last 8 home games and 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall while the under is 6-1 in their last 7 games in November.

I get the case to be made for either side, especially in these rivalry games, but I’m sticking with the under. These teams don’t like each other and no matter how good the offenses are tabbed at being, the games still find a way to come in under the number. I’ll side with the under here.