Penn State vs Michigan State 11/26/22 College Football Picks, Predictions, Odds

The Michigan State Spartans and Penn State Nittany Lions meet Saturday in week 13 college football action at Beaver Stadium. The Michigan State Spartans have split their last 6 games. The Penn State Nittany Lions look to build on their 3-game winning streak.

The Michigan State Spartans have lost 3 of their last 4 road games. Payton Thorne is completing 63.4 percent of his passes for 2,450 yards, 18 touchdowns and 10 interceptions. Keon Coleman and Jayden Reed have combined for 1,307 receiving yards and 12 touchdowns, while Tre Mosley has 31 receptions. The Michigan State Spartans ground game is averaging 121.2 yards per contest, and Jalen Berger leads the way with 669 yards and 6 touchdowns. Defensively, Michigan State is allowing 26.7 points and 417.1 yards per game. Cal Haladay leads the Michigan State Spartans with 109 tackles, Jacoby Windmon has 5.5 sacks and Charles Brantley has 1 interception.

The Penn State Nittany Lions have won 5 of their last 6 home games. Sean Clifford is completing 62.4 percent of his passes for 2,341 yards, 18 touchdowns and 7 interceptions. Parker Washington and Mitchell Tinsley have combined for 1,126 receiving yards and 6 touchdowns, while Brenton Strange has 30 receptions. The Penn State Nittany Lions ground game is averaging 184.1 yards per contest, and Nicholas Singleton leads the way with 863 yards and 10 touchdowns. Defensively, Penn State is allowing 18.2 points and 324 yards per game. Ji’Ayir Brown leads the Penn State Nittany Lions with 59 tackles, Abdul Carter has 4.5 sacks and Zakee Wheatley has 2 interceptions.

The Spartans are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games and 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games overall. The Nittany Lions are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The under is 4-1 in Spartans last 5 road games. The over is 5-1 in Nittany Lions last 6 games overall. The home team is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings. The favorite is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 meetings.

The Penn State Nittany Lions are the far and away more balanced team, and they’ve beaten a lot of teams up this season. A blowout win wouldn’t be shocking. However, the Michigan State Spartans have competed this season despite not much going right, and they’re still playing for bowl eligibility. Michigan State hasn’t gotten blown out a lot this season, as this is still a program with a lot of pride. I’ll take my chances with the points.