Baylor Bears (6-5) vs. Texas Longhorns (7-4)
November 25, 2022 12:00 pm EDT
The Line: Texas Longhorns -7.5 / Baylor Bears +7.5; Over/Under: 53.5
(Click here for latest betting odds)
The Baylor Bears and Texas Longhorns meet Thursday in week 13 college football action at DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium. The Baylor Bears have split their last 10 games. The Texas Longhorns have won 5 of their last 7 games.
The Baylor Bears have won 3 of their last 4 road games. Blake Shapen is completing 66 percent of his passes for 2,423 yards, 14 touchdowns and 9 interceptions. Monaray Baldwin and Gavin Holmes have combined for 1,000 receiving yards and 7 touchdowns, while Hal Presley has 29 receptions. The Baylor Bears ground game is averaging 202.7 yards per contest, and Richard Reese leads the way with 908 yards and 14 touchdowns. Defensively, Baylor is allowing 25.5 points and 367.5 yards per game. Al Walcott leads the Baylor Bears with 70 tackles, Garmon Randolph has 4.5 sacks and Christian Morgan has 3 interceptions.
The Texas Longhorns have won 4 of their last 6 home games. Quinn Ewers is completing 55.4 percent of his passes for 1,614 yards, 14 touchdowns and 6 interceptions. Xavier Worthy and Jordan Whittington have combined for 1,174 receiving yards and 10 touchdowns, while Ja’Tavion Sanders has 47 receptions. The Texas Longhorns ground game is averaging 198.8 yards per contest, and Bijan Robinson leads the way with 1,401 yards and 16 touchdowns. Defensively, Texas is allowing 20.6 points and 369.5 yards per game. Jaylan Ford leads the Texas Longhorns with 96 tackles, Barryn Sorrell has 5.5 sacks and Jahdae Barron has 2 interceptions.
The Bears are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 road games and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The Longhorns are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games and 2-7 ATS in their last 9 Friday games. The over is 6-2 in Bears last 8 games overall. The under is 6-1 in Longhorns last 7 home games. The Bears are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings in Texas and 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 meetings. The favorite is 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
The Texas Longhorns are coming off a nice win, and they’ve shown they can comfortably win games and look great when they want to. The problem is, right when you’re ready to claim Texas is back, they fall flat on their face. I never expect consistency from Texas, and I’m always expecting a disappointing result right when the hype starts to build again. The Baylor Bears also aren’t a pushover, as they just took TCU down to the wire last week, and they have a top-30 scoring offense. The hook may be key here. Give me Baylor and the points.