West Virginia vs Kansas State 11/19/22 College Football Picks, Predictions, Odds

The West Virginia Mountaineers and Kansas State Wildcats clash Saturday in Big 12 week 12 college football matchup from Milan Puskar Stadium.

The Kansas State Wildcats will be out to build on their 31-3 beatdown win over Baylor last time out. Adrian Martinez has thrown for 1,261 yards, 6 touchdowns and an interception on 64.1% passing while Will Howard’s thrown for 717 yards, 9 touchdowns and an interception on 63.1% passing. Deuce Vaughn has a team-high 1,081 rushing yards and 5 touchdowns while Martinez has 615 rushing yards and 10 touchdowns this season. Malik Knowles leads K-State’s receiving group with 38 grabs for 558 receiving yards while Phillip Brooks has 29 receptions for 419 yards with 3 TDs and Kade Warner has 348 receiving yards and 5 touchdowns as well this season. On defense, Austin Moore has a team-high 69 total tackles while Felix Anudike-Uzomah has a team-high 7.5 sacks. As a unit, Kansas State’s defense has 23 sacks and 13 interceptions so far this season.

The West Virginia Mountaineers will try to build on their 23-20 win over Oklahoma last time out. JT Daniels has thrown for 2,107 yards, 13 touchdowns and 9 interceptions on 61.2% passing while Tony Mathis Jr. has a team-high 545 rushing yards with 5 touchdowns and CJ Donaldson has a team-high 6 touchdowns along with 526 rushing yards. Bryce Ford-Wheaton has a team-high 58 grabs for 641 yards and 7 touchdowns while Sam James has 624 receiving yards with 3 TDs and Kaden Prather has 487 receiving yards and 3 scores as well this season. On defense, Lee Kpogba has a team-high 66 total tackles while West Virginia’s defense has a combined 21 sacks as well this year.

Kansas State is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games against a team with a losing record and 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a win while the under is 15-5-1 in their last 21 games in November. West Virginia is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following an ATS win and 2-6 AT in their last 8 conference games while the under is 10-2 in their last 12 November games.  

I get the reasoning for backing a home underdog in most instances but even in Morgantown, this isn’t one of them. I’m well aware West Virginia needs to win out to have any shot at making a bowl game, but if Kansas State can win out, they’re in the driver’s seat to meet TCU in the Big 12 title game. I just think there’s too much at stake for Kansas State to falter now, so I’ll side with the Wildcats laying the points.