Toledo Rockets (7-4) vs. Western Michigan Broncos (4-7)
November 25, 2022 12:00 pm EDT
The Line: Western Michigan Broncos +7.5 / Toledo Rockets -7.5 ; Over/Under: -
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The Toledo Rockets and the Western Michigan Broncos meet Friday in college football action from Waldo Stadium. Toledo is fresh off a matchup versus Bowling Green. The Rockets took a seven-point loss in that one. As for Western Michigan, they’re 4-7 overall and coming off a tight win over Central Michigan. Check back all season long for free college football picks at Sports Chat Place.
Toledo went 2-2 over their first four games with losses to Ohio State and San Diego State. After a 3-1 run in the next four (beating Central Michigan, NIU and Kent State) the Rockets took out Eastern Michigan and Ball State in consecutive outings.
In Tuesday’s matchup versus Bowling Green, Toledo trailed 21-14 going into the break. The Rockets scored 21 points in the fourth but it wasn’t enough in a 42-35 loss. QB Tucker Gleason managed 329 yards with three scores and two interceptions.
Over on the Western Michigan side, they began the year with a 1-3 run featuring only a seven-point win over Ball State. Over their next six games the Broncos went 2-4, losing to Eastern Michigan, Ohio, Bowling Green and Northern Illinois.
In Wednesday’s matchup versus Central Michigan, the Broncos had a tight game the whole way. Western Michigan scored five points in the final quarter for a 12-10 comeback win. Treyson Bourguet threw for 102 yards, and Sean Tyler notched 26 carries for 177 and a score.
The Rockets are 25-10 ATS versus a team with a losing record and 0-4 ATS in their last four overall. Toledo is 0-4 ATS in their last four on turf.
Meanwhile, the Broncos are 6-2 ATS versus a team with a winning record and 2-5-1 ATS in their last eight after a straight-up win. WMU is 1-6 ATS in their last seven at home.
PICK: I’m going to stick with Toledo. The Rockets are coming off a rough loss to a good Bowling Green team, but they were burned badly in the passing game by allowing 395 yards. The Rockets posted 482 total yards themselves with 24 first downs. The three turnovers didn’t help, though.
As for Western Michigan, they cut it just about as close as can be in their win over Central Michigan. The Broncos controlled the ball well with zero turnovers and 32:08 in time of possession. They’re likely going to need to put up more points in this one though, and I don’t know that WMU can keep pace.