Denver Pioneers (11-20) vs. North Dakota State Bison (21-9)
March 5, 2022 9:30 pm EDT
The Line: North Dakota State Bison -9 / Denver Pioneers +9; Over/Under: +140
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The Denver Pioneers and the North Dakota State Bison meet in college basketball action from the Denny Sanford Premier Center on Saturday night.
The Denver Pioneers come into the conference tournament as the #7 seed, finishing at 11-20 overall and 7-11 in conference play this season. KJ Hunt leads the Pioneers in scoring and assists with 15.1 PPG and 3.5 APG while also logging 4.4 RPG. and Jordan Johnson’s got 11.1 PPG so far this season. Coban Porter has 11.5 PPG and Tevin Smith’s got 10.4 PPG to cap off the group of double-digit scorers for Denver so far this season. As a team, Denver is averaging 70.8 PPG on 46% shooting from the field, 36.9% from three and 70.5% from the foul line while allowing 74.1 PPG on 44.7% shooting from the field and 35.5% from three this season.
The North Dakota State Bison will come into the conference tournament as the #2 seed, finishing at 21-9 overall, including a 13-5 mark in conference play this season. Rocky Kreuser leads the Bison in scoring with 15.8 PPG as well as in rebounding with 8 RPG while Grant Nelson has 11.2 PPG with 4.7 RPG. Sam Griesel also has 13.5 PPG with 6.4 RPG and 2.9 APG and Tyree Eady has 10.3 PPG with 2.4 APG to make up the group of double-digit scorers for North Dakota State so far this season. As a team, North Dakota State is averaging 74.2 PPG on 45.5% shooting from the field, 35.7% from three and 76.5% from the foul line while allowing 68.6 PPG on 42% shooting from the field and 31.6% from three this season.
Denver is 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 neutral site games and 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games against a team with a winning percentage above .600 while the over is 7-2 in their last 9 games following a win. North Dakota State is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall and 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 games against a team with a winning percentage below .400 while the over is 5-1 in their last 6 neutral site games.
I get the case to be made for Denver here as the Pioneers have been solid at covering on the road and the Pioneers have done good job covering in stepping up in class. However, the Bison have been a good home team this year, are the better team statistically on both ends of the floor here and they’ve won the two meetings against the Pioneers handily this season. I’ll side with the Bison to complete the trifecta with a double-digit win and cover here.