College Basketball Picks

UCLA vs St. Mary’s 3/19/22 College Basketball Picks, Predictions, Odds

St. Mary's Gaels (26-7) vs. UCLA Bruins (25-7)
March 19, 2022 7:10 pm EDT
The Line: UCLA Bruins -3 / St. Mary's Gaels +3; Over/Under: -
(Get latest betting odds)

The Saint Mary’s Gaels and UCLA Bruins meet Saturday in the college basketball NCAA Tournament Second Round at the Moda Center. The Saint Mary’s Gaels look for another win after blowing out Indiana in the first round. The UCLA Bruins look for a win after escaping Akron in the first round.

The Saint Mary’s Gaels are averaging 69.6 points on 46.2 percent shooting and allowing 59.4 points on 42.1 percent shooting. Matthias Tass is averaging 12.6 points and 2 assists, while Tommy Kuhse is averaging 12 points and 3.8 rebounds. Logan Johnson is the third double-digit scorer and Alex Ducas is dishing 0.9 assists. The Saint Mary’s Gaels are shooting 34.9 percent from beyond the arc and 75.7 percent from the free throw line. The Saint Mary’s Gaels are allowing 33.3 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 31.2 rebounds per game.

The UCLA Bruins are averaging 76.7 points on 44.9 percent shooting and allowing 64.3 points on 41.4 percent shooting. Johnny Juzang is averaging 16 points and 4.6 rebounds, while Jaime Jaquez Jr. is averaging 14 points and 5.8 rebounds. Jules Bernard is the third double-digit scorer and Tyger Campbell is dishing 4.2 assists. The UCLA Bruins are shooting 35.2 percent from beyond the arc and 72.7 percent from the free throw line. The UCLA Bruins are allowing 31.9 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 34.3 rebounds per game.

The Gaels are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The Bruins are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 NCAA Tournament games and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss. The over is 11-5-1 in Gaels last 17 overall. The over is 5-2 in Bruins last 7 overall.

The UCLA Bruins are probably the better team with the higher upside and should be favored, but their struggles against Akron were concerning, and they’ve been shaky overall since the month of February. The St. Mary’s Gaels have played their best ball over the last month, which includes a win over Gonzaga and San Francisco, and they absolutely crushed Indiana in the tournament opener. The Gaels are a confident side that can score well in all areas and is top-10 in defensive points allowed. Don’t sleep on Saint Mary’s. Give me the free bucket.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: St. Mary's Gaels +3

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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