College Basketball Picks

Florida vs Mississippi State Pick – Basketball Predictions & Odds 3/9/23

Mississippi State Bulldogs (20-11) vs. Florida Gators (16-15)
March 9, 2023 1:00 pm EDT
The Line: Florida Gators +3.5 / Mississippi State Bulldogs -3.5; Over/Under: +130.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Mississippi State Bulldogs and the Florida Gators meet in college basketball action from the Bridgestone Arena on Thursday as part of the SEC conference tournament. Let’s dive into the odds, injuries, matchup history and make a prediction for this game.


Mississippi State is listed as a 3.5-point favorite with the total for this game set at 130.5 points.


Mississippi State has a clean injury report coming into this game while Florida still has Colin Castleton listed as out for the season with a hand injury.

Matchup History

Florida’s 61-59 win back on January 21st, 2023, made it back-to-back wins for the Gators in this head-to-head matchup.


Mississippi State is 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games overall and 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games while the over is 4-1 in their last 5 games against a team with a winning record. Florida is 1-7 ATS in their last 8 neutral site games and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games against a team with a winning record while the over is 8-1 in their last 9 games overall.


I’m siding with Mississippi State here. The Bulldogs own one of the best defensive units in the country, and that’s not a good matchup for a Gators team that’s without their best player in Colin Castleton and the Gators have struggled without him in the lineup. I was going to have a hard time backing Florida prior to this matchup, but with this opponent, Florida’s in tough here. Give me the Bulldogs.

Chris Ruffolo's Free Pick: Mississippi State -3.5

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Chris Ruffolo

Chris joined the Sports Chat Place team in August 2016 and has a proven system that combines multiple analytical and situational statistics and trends to give out thousands of winning picks over the last three years with winning records across all of the top leagues, Follow Chris Ruffolo on Twitter @ruffthepickdawg

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