TCU Horned Frogs (22-12) vs. Gonzaga Bulldogs (29-5)
March 19, 2023 9:40 pm EDT
The Line: Gonzaga Bulldogs -4.5 / TCU Horned Frogs +4.5; Over/Under: -
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The TCU Horned Frogs and Gonzaga Bulldogs meet Sunday in the college basketball NCAA Tournament Second Round at the Ball Arena. Let’s preview this game and give out a pick and prediction.
The TCU Horned Frogs are averaging 75.5 points on 46.2 percent shooting and allowing 68 points on 42.5 percent shooting. Mike Miles Jr. is averaging 17.3 points and 2.8 rebounds, while Damion Baugh is averaging 12.6 points and 4.6 rebounds. Emanuel Miller is the third double-digit scorer and JaKobe Coles is dishing 1.2 assists. The TCU Horned Frogs are shooting 29.6 percent from beyond the arc and 70.1 percent from the free throw line. The TCU Horned Frogs are allowing 31.1 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 33.3 rebounds per game.
The Gonzaga Bulldogs are averaging 88 points on 52.9 percent shooting and allowing 73.6 points on 44.9 percent shooting. Drew Timme is averaging 20.9 points and 3.2 assists, while Julian Strawther is averaging 15.1 points and 5.9 rebounds. Anton Watson is the third double-digit scorer and Rasir Bolton is grabbing 1.9 rebounds. The Gonzaga Bulldogs are shooting 38.2 percent from beyond the arc and 69.8 percent from the free throw line. The Gonzaga Bulldogs are allowing 34.7 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 33.6 rebounds per game.
The Horned Frogs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The Bulldogs are 3-11-1 ATS in their last 15 neutral site games and 0-6 ATS in their last 6 NCAA Tournament games. The under is 4-0-1 in Horned Frogs last 5 overall. The over is 8-3 in Bulldogs last 11 overall.
Give the TCU Horned Frogs credit for finding a way to advance, and they’re a scrappy bunch that plays ugly but finds a way more times than not. Still, TCU has ugly stretches offensively and relies heavily on Mike Miles to bail them out. The Gonzaga Bulldogs are well coached, experienced and should be able to form a defensive game plan to force others on TCU to beat them. The line is reasonable. Gonzaga is 3-1 ATS when favorites of 4.5 or fewer points. I’d need an extra bucket or two to strongly consider TCU. Give me the Zags and cheap chalk.
