College Basketball Picks

Pepperdine vs. Saint Mary’s Pick – Basketball Predictions & Odds 1/19/23

St. Mary's Gaels (16-4) vs. Pepperdine Waves (7-12)
January 19, 2023 11:00 pm EDT
The Line: Pepperdine Waves +12 / St. Mary's Gaels -12; Over/Under: +141
(Get latest betting odds)

The Saint Mary’s Gaels and the Pepperdine Waves meet in college basketball action from the Firestone Fieldhouse on Thursday night. Let’s dive into the odds, injuries, matchup history and make a prediction for this game.


Saint Mary’s is listed as a 12-point road favorite in this game with a ML price of -800. The total for this game is set at 141 points.


Saint Mary’s doesn’t have any new names over the last two months added to the injury list while Pepperdine’s injury report is squeaky clean, so barring any last minute announcements, both sides will come into this game at full strength.

Matchup history

Saint Mary’s has won the last three meetings between these two teams including an 81-57 win in the last meeting back on January 29th, 2022.


Saint Mary’s is 13-2-1 ATS in their last 16 Thursday games and 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall while the over is 4-1 in their last 5 games following an ATS win. Pepperdine is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS win and 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games against a team with a winning percentage above .600 while the over is 5-0 in their last 5 games overall.


I’m backing Saint Mary’s here. Normally you’d think of the Gaels as a defense-first team with how well the Gaels can lock up opposing teams on defense, but the Gaels are capable of scoring points as well and that should be amplified against this terrible Pepperdine defense. All in all, I think the Waves are in some serious trouble here. Give me Saint Mary’s in a beatdown.

Chris Ruffolo's Free Pick: Saint Mary's -12

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Chris Ruffolo

Chris joined the Sports Chat Place team in August 2016 and has a proven system that combines multiple analytical and situational statistics and trends to give out thousands of winning picks over the last three years with winning records across all of the top leagues, Follow Chris Ruffolo on Twitter @ruffthepickdawg

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