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Alabama vs Mississippi State Prediction 2/25/25 College Basketball Picks Today

Mississippi State (19-8) vs. Alabama (22-5)
February 25, 2025 9:00 pm EDT
The Line: Alabama -7.5; Over/Under: 170.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Mississippi State Bulldogs and Alabama Crimson Tide meet Tuesday in college basketball action at the Coleman Coliseum. Here’s an Alabama vs Mississippi State Prediction. This article will include an Alabama vs Mississippi State Pick.

Mississippi State Bulldogs Betting Preview

The Mississippi State Bulldogs beat Texas A&M, lost to Oklahoma, and they play LSU, Texas, and Arkansas next. Mississippi State is 5-7 since starting the season with a 14-1 record.


The Mississippi State Bulldogs are averaging 79.3 points on 45.4 percent shooting and allowing 71.9 points on 43.1 percent shooting. Josh Hubbard is averaging 17.9 points and 3.3 assists, while KeShawn Murphy is averaging 11.4 points and 7.5 rebounds. Claudell Harris Jr. is the third double-digit scorer and Riley Kugel is dishing 1.5 assists. The Mississippi State Bulldogs are shooting 31.7 percent from beyond the arc and 69.3 percent from the free throw line. The Mississippi State Bulldogs are allowing 36 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 35.9 rebounds per game.

Alabama Crimson Tide Betting Preview

The Alabama Crimson Tide lost to Missouri, beat Kentucky, and they play Tennessee, Florida, and Auburn next. Alabama is playing a fourth straight-ranked opponent and just smoked Kentucky.

The Alabama Crimson Tide are averaging 90.9 points on 48.4 percent shooting and allowing 80.4 points on 42 percent shooting. Mark Sears is averaging 18.9 points and 3 rebounds, while Grant Nelson is averaging 12.2 points and 1.7 assists. Aden Holloway is the third double-digit scorer and Latrell Wrightsell Jr. is grabbing 1.8 rebounds. The Alabama Crimson Tide are shooting 34.2 percent from beyond the arc and 71.9 percent from the free throw line. The Alabama Crimson Tide are allowing 30.4 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 39.8 rebounds per game.

Why the Alabama Crimson Tide will win

  • Mississippi State has lost each of its last eight games at Coleman Coliseum.
  • Alabama has won each of its last eight games against Mississippi State at Coleman Coliseum.
  • Alabama has won the first half in 10 of its last 11 games against Mississippi State.

Why the Mississippi State Bulldogs will win

  • The road team has won six of Mississippi State’s last eight games.
  • The road team has won the first half in seven of Mississippi State’s last eight games.

Total Points Facts

  • Seventy-nine of Mississippi State’s last 82 night games have produced a total of 168 or fewer points.
  • Eight of Alabama’s last nine games against AP-ranked opponents have produced a total of 172+ points.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Alabama ranks 1st among Division 1 teams for points per game this season (90.8).
  • Alabama ranks 1st among Division 1 teams for rebounds per game this season (43.8).
  • Mississippi State ranks T14th among Division 1 teams for steals per game this season (9.4).
  • Mississippi State ranks 26th among Division 1 teams for field goal attempts per game this season (62.9).

Alabama vs Mississippi State Injury Report

Alabama will be without Latrell Wrightsell Jr., Houston Mallette, and Derrion Reid. Mississippi State will continue to be without Kanye Clary.

Alabama vs Mississippi State Prediction

Mississippi State isn’t the same team it was earlier in the season as it’s 5-7 since starting the year with wins in 14 of 15 games. Mississippi State also lost to Alabama by four points a few weeks ago. Alabama has won nine of the last 10 games against Mississippi State. Alabama has been one of the more consistent teams in the SEC and is 11-2 SU at home. While the experience and talent is there, there’s just something off with Mississippi State at the moment. Give me an Alabama in a reasonable home win.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Alabama -7.5

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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