Alabama vs Saint Marys Prediction 3/23/25 College Basketball Picks Today
St. Mary's (29-5) vs. Alabama (26-8)
March 23, 2025 6:10 pm EDT
The Line: Alabama -5.5; Over/Under: 149.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Saint Mary’s Gaels and Alabama Crimson Tide meet Sunday in the college basketball Second Round at the Rocket Arena. Here’s a Alabama vs Saint Marys Prediction. This article will include a Alabama vs Saint Marys Pick.
Saint Mary’s Gaels Betting Preview
The Saint Mary’s Gaels recently played Oregon State, Pepperdine, Gonzaga, and Vanderbilt. Saint Mary’s has won nine of its last 10 games and has lost once twice since Christmas.
The Saint Mary’s Gaels are averaging 74.3 points on 45.6 percent shooting and allowing 60.8 points on 40.8 percent shooting. Augustas Marciulionis is averaging 14.3 points and 6 assists, while Paulius Murauskas is averaging 12.2 points and 7.9 rebounds. Mitchell Saxen is the third double-digit scorer and Luke Barrett is dishing 1.4 assists. The Saint Mary’s Gaels are shooting 33.5 percent from beyond the arc and 69.8 percent from the free throw line. The Saint Mary’s Gaels are allowing 1.6 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 36.4 rebounds per game.
Alabama Crimson Tide Betting Preview
The Alabama Crimson Tide recently played Tennessee, Florida, Auburn, Kentucky, and Robert Morris. Alabama has seen three of its eight losses come in its last six games.
The Alabama Crimson Tide are averaging 91.1 points on 48.3 percent shooting and allowing 81.4 points on 42.5 percent shooting. Mark Sears is averaging 18.8 points and 3.1 rebounds, while Grant Nelson is averaging 11.6 points and 1.6 assists. Latrell Wrightsell Jr. is the third double-digit scorer and Aden Holloway is grabbing 2 rebounds. The Alabama Crimson Tide are shooting 35 percent from beyond the arc and 71.6 percent from the free throw line. The Alabama Crimson Tide are allowing 30.8 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 39.3 rebounds per game.
Why the Alabama Crimson Tide will win
- Saint Mary’s has lost each of its last six games against Top 10 AP-ranked opponents at a neutral venue.
- Alabama has won each of its last six games against non-Conference opponents.
- Saint Mary’s has lost the first half in each of its last six games against Top 10 AP-ranked opponents at a neutral venue.
Why the Saint Mary’s Gaels will win
- Saint Mary’s has won 19 of its last 21 games.
- Saint Mary’s has won the first half in 17 of its last 18 night games.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Saint Mary’s’ last 17 night games at a neutral venue have produced a total of 145 or fewer points.
- Each of Alabama’s last 17 games have produced a total of 153+ points.
Matchup/League Facts
- Alabama ranks 1st among Division 1 teams for points per game this season (91.2).
- Alabama ranks 1st among Division 1 teams for rebounds per game this season (43.3).
- Saint Mary’s ranks 1st among Division 1 teams for rebound percentage this season (57.4%).
- Saint Mary’s ranks 2nd among Division 1 teams for opponent three-point field goals made per game this season (5.5).
Alabama vs Saint Marys Injury Report
Saint Mary’s doesn’t have a player listed on its injury report. Alabama will continue to be without Latrell Wrightsell Jr. and Houston Mallette.
Alabama vs Saint Marys Prediction
Alabama is the deeper, more talented team, but it has lost three of its last six games and had a hairy situation against Robert Morris. Saint Mary’s is an experienced, deep squad, that can score the basketball at an above-average clip and is fifth in scoring defense and top-40 in field goal percentage defense.
Saint Mary’s just put another SEC team in hell defensively, beating Vanderbilt in the first round, and we can’t ignore the outright win on the road against Gonzaga about a month ago. Saint Mary’s won’t be scared of this matchup and has the defense to hang around. I’ll take a shot with the points on Sunday night.
