Alabama vs Texas Tech Prediction 3/22/26 College Basketball Picks Today
Texas Tech (23-10) vs. Alabama (24-9)
March 22, 2026 9:45 pm EDT
The Line: Alabama +1.5; Over/Under: 165.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Texas Tech Red Raiders and Alabama Crimson Tide meet Sunday in the college basketball NCAA Tournament at the Benchmark International Arena. Here’s an Alabama vs. Texas Tech Prediction. This article will include an Alabama vs. Texas Tech Pick.
Texas Tech Red Raiders Betting Preview
The Texas Tech Red Raiders lost to Iowa State and beat Akron. Texas Tech has lost 3 of its last 4 games.
The Texas Tech Red Raiders are averaging 80.4 points on 46.7 percent shooting and allowing 72.7 points on 43.9 percent shooting. JT Toppin is averaging 21.8 points and 2.1 assists, while Christian Anderson is averaging 18.9 points and 3.7 rebounds. Donovan Atwell is the third double-digit scorer, and LeJuan Watts is grabbing 6 rebounds. The Texas Tech Red Raiders are shooting 39.3 percent from beyond the arc and 71.5 percent from the free throw line. The Texas Tech Red Raiders are allowing 31.5 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 33.8 rebounds per game.
Alabama Crimson Tide Betting Preview
The Alabama Crimson Tide lost to Ole Miss and beat Hofstra. Alabama has won 10 of its last 12 games.
The Alabama Crimson Tide is averaging 91.8 points on 45.8 percent shooting and allowing 83.5 points on 43.3 percent shooting. Labaron Philon Jr. is averaging 22 points and 3.4 rebounds, while Aden Holloway is averaging 16.8 points and 3.8 assists. Latrell Wrightsell is the third double-digit scorer, and Amari Allen is grabbing 7.1 rebounds. The Alabama Crimson Tide are shooting 35.8 percent from beyond the arc and 76.5 percent from the free throw line. The Alabama Crimson Tide is allowing 33.5 percent shooting from deep and is grabbing 36.9 rebounds per game.
Why the Alabama Crimson Tide will win
- Alabama has won each of its last seven NCAA Tournament games against a lower seed.
- Texas Tech has lost eight of its last nine March games as an AP-ranked team against an AP-ranked team.
- Alabama has won the first half in each of its last nine games against non-Conference opponents.
Why the Texas Tech Red Raiders will win
- Texas Tech has won seven of its last eight games against non-Conference opponents.
- Alabama has lost five of its last six night games against the Big 12 Conference.
- Texas Tech has won the first half in seven of its last eight games against non-Conference opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Texas Tech’s last 25 night games against AP-ranked opponents has produced a total of 163 or fewer points.
- Each of Alabama’s last nine night games against non-Conference opponents has produced a total of 167+ points.
Matchup/League Facts
- Alabama ranks 1st among Division 1 teams for points per game this season (92.1).
- Alabama ranks 1st among Division 1 teams for three-point field goal attempts per game this season (35.5).
- Texas Tech ranks 5th among Division 1 teams for three-point field goals made per game this season (11.6).
- Texas Tech ranks 8th among Division 1 teams for opponent blocks per game this season (2.3).
Alabama vs Texas Tech Prediction
Alabama is scary offensively and it’s a team you usually don’t get as an underdog. However, this is where the Tide are going to miss Holloway. Texas Tech is one of the more balanced teams in the country and defends the three at an above-average level. Alabama not being at full strength is going to be a problem. Sure, you can say the same about Texas Tech, who will be without Toppin, but he’s been out for a month. The Red Raiders have adjusted to this point. Texas Tech plays grown man ball and frustrates alabama for stretches. I’ll lay the bucket.