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Arizona State vs UCF Prediction 1/14/25 College Basketball Picks Today

UCF (11-4) vs. Arizona State (10-5)
January 14, 2025 11:00 pm EDT
The Line: Arizona State -5.5; Over/Under: 147
(Get latest betting odds)

The UCF Knights and the Arizona State Sun Devils meet Tuesday in college basketball action from the Desert Financial Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s an Arizona State vs UCF Prediction.

UCF Recap

The UCF Knights come into this game looking to bounce back from an 88-80 loss to Arizona to drop to 11-4 overall on the year. UCF will meet Houston, Iowa State, TCU, Kansas, and BYU after this game.


Knights Looking For Consistency

Keyshawn Hall leads the Knights in scoring and rebounding with 16.1 PPG and 6.5 RPG along with 2.3 APG while Darius Johnson has 14.9 PPG with 3.9 RPG and a team-high 3.9 APG to lead the Knights in the assist department. Jordan Ivy-Curry has 14.7 PPG with 3.5 RPG to round out the group of double-digit scorers for UCF so far this season while Moustapha Thiam has 7.6 PPG with 5.1 RPG and Dallan Coleman has 6.6 PPG with 4.1 RPG. As a team, UCF is averaging 78.6 PPG on 41.7% shooting from the field, 33% from three, and 77% from the foul line this season.

Why the UCF Knights will win

  • Arizona State has lost each of its last six night games against the Big 12 Conference.
  • UCF has won seven of its last eight night games.

Arizona State Recap

The Arizona State Sun Devils come into this game looking to bounce back after a 72-66 OT loss to Baylor last time out to fall to 10-5 on the year. After this game, Arizona State will head on the road for a matchup with Cincinnati.

Sun Devils Drop Back-To-Back Outings

Joson Sanon leads the Sun Devils in scoring with 12.9 PPG along with 3.2 RPG while Basheer Jihad has 13.8 PPG and 5.6 RPG. Alston Mason added 11.7 PPG with a team-high 3.5 APG to lead the Sun Devils in assists and BJ Freeman added 12.4 PPG with 4.2 RPG and 2.5 APG to round out the group of double-digit scorers for Arizona State so far this season. Adam Miller has 9.5 PPG with 2.1 APG while Jayden Quaintance has 9.1 PPG with a team-high 8.4 RPG to lead ASU on the glass up to this point in the year. As a team, Arizona State is averaging 74.8 PPG on 44.4% shooting from the field, 36.2% from three, and 71.5% from the foul line this season.

Why the Arizona State Sun Devils will win

  • Arizona State has won each of its last 10 Tuesday night games.
  • UCF has lost four of its last five road night games against the Big 12 Conference.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of Arizona State’s last eight games against Conference opponents has produced a total of 142 or fewer points.
  • Each of UCF’s last six night games has produced a total of 149+ points.

Arizona State vs UCF Prediction

I’m leaning towards UCF and the points here. I just look at this game and this feels like the kind of game that comes down to which team gets the final shot or a pair of late free throws to push the lead to 4 in the dying seconds, whichever team is ahead. Arizona State’s been a lot better at covering these numbers than I thought they’d be coming into the year, but I just can’t get to this number in what I think is going to end up being a tight game. Give me UCF and the points in this one.

Chris Ruffolo's Free Pick: UCF +5.5

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Chris Ruffolo

Chris joined the Sports Chat Place team in August 2016 and has a proven system that combines multiple analytical and situational statistics and trends to give out thousands of winning picks over the last three years with winning records across all of the top leagues, Follow Chris Ruffolo on Twitter @ruffthepickdawg

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