Arizona vs Michigan Prediction 4/4/26 College Basketball Picks Today

The Michigan Wolverines and Arizona Wildcats meet Saturday in the college basketball NCAA Tournament at Lucas Oil Stadium. Here’s an Arizona vs. Michigan Prediction. This article will include an Arizona vs. Michigan Pick.

Michigan Wolverines Betting Preview

The Michigan Wolverines beat Tennessee and Alabama. Michigan has won 35 of its last 38 games.

The Michigan Wolverines are averaging 88.5 points on 51 percent shooting and allowing 69.1 points on 38 percent shooting. Yaxel Lendeborg is averaging 14.3 points and 3.3 assists, while Morez Johnson Jr. is averaging 13.2 points and 7.3 rebounds. Aday Mara is the third double-digit scorer and Elliot Cadeau is grabbing 2.6 rebounds. The Michigan Wolverines are shooting 36.5 percent from beyond the arc and 74.5 percent from the free throw line. The Michigan Wolverines are allowing 29.6 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 37.1 rebounds per game.

Arizona Wildcats Betting Preview

The Arizona Wildcats beat Purdue and Arkansas. Arizona has won 36 of its last 38 games.

The Arizona Wildcats are averaging 86.1 points on 50 percent shooting and allowing 68.4 points on 39 percent shooting. Brayden Burries is averaging 16.2 points and 2.5 assists, while Koa Peat is averaging 13.9 points and 5.4 rebounds. Jaden Bradley is the third double-digit scorer, and Motiejus Krivas is grabbing 8.1 rebounds. The Arizona Wildcats are shooting 36.4 percent from beyond the arc and 73 percent from the free throw line. The Arizona Wildcats are allowing 31.1 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 40.2 rebounds per game.

Why the Arizona Wildcats will win

• Arizona has won each of its last 17 games against non-Conference opponents.
• Michigan has lost each of its last six games as a top-10 AP-ranked team against a top-10 AP-ranked team at neutral venues.
• Michigan has lost the first half in each of its last seven NCAA Tournament night games against Top 4 Seeds.

Why the Michigan Wolverines will win

• Michigan has won 25 of its last 26 night games.
• Michigan has won the first half in 10 of its last 12 games against non-Conference opponents.

Total Points: Facts

• Each of Michigan’s last 16 games against Top 10 AP-ranked opponents at a neutral venue have produced a total of 146 or fewer points.
• Four of Arizona’s last five games have produced a total of 153 or fewer points.

Arizona Wildcats Player Facts

• Brayden Burries ranks 1st amongst Freshmen for total three-pointers (13) in this season’s NCAA Tournament.
• Motiejus Krivas ranks 1st amongst Juniors for total rebounds (38) in this season’s NCAA Tournament.

Michigan Wolverines Player Facts

• Aday Mara ranks 1st for total blocks (11) in this season’s NCAA Tournament.
• Yaxel Lendeborg ranks 1st amongst Graduates for total points (84) in this season’s NCAA Tournament.

Matchup/League Facts

• Arizona ranks 1st for free throws made per game (24.8) during this season’s NCAA Tournament.
• Arizona ranks 1st for free throws attempted per game (33.3) during this season’s NCAA Tournament.
• Michigan ranks 1st for points per game (95.3) during this season’s NCAA Tournament.
• Michigan has the best total point differential (+90) during this season’s NCAA Tournament.

Arizona vs Michigan Prediction

You can argue Michigan is the more complete team, but the value is with Arizona and the free bucket. This game could go either way and is likely going to be decided in the final minutes. I want the free bucket in my pocket. Arizona has done nothing to deserve to be an underdog against anybody and it’s probably slightly more efficient offensively. Arizona is also 23-15 ATS on the season, while Michigan is 18-20 ATS. Michigan has failed to cover 6 of its last 9 games. Coin flip game: give me the free bucket with the Wildcats.