Arkansas vs Florida Pick – Basketball Predictions & Odds 2/18/23

The Florida Gators and the Arkansas Razorbacks meet in college basketball action from the Bud Walton Arena on Saturday afternoon. Let’s dive into the odds, injuries, matchup history and make a prediction for this game.

Odds

Arkansas is an 8.5-point home favorite with a ML price of -450. The total for this game is set at 138.5 points.

Injuries

For Florida, Colin Castleton is out for the season with a hand injury while Trey Bonham and CJ Felder are both questionable for this game. For Arkansas, no new names have popped up on the injury list coming into this game.

Matchup History

Arkansas’ 82-74 win back on February 22^nd, 2022, made it back-to-back wins for the Razorbacks in this head-to-head matchup.

Trends

Florida is 6-16 ATS in their last 22 games following a win and 9-19 ATS in their last 28 games against a team with a winning record while the over is 4-0 in their last 4 games overall. Arkansas is 9-3 ATS in their last 12 home games against a team with a losing road record and 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games following an ATS loss while the under is 5-2-1 in their last 8 home games.

Pick

I’m backing Arkansas here. The Gators are a solid team, but they took a massive hit last game, losing star big man Colin Castleton for the year, and the Gators were struggling on the road with Castleton to begin with. Arkansas is finally getting healthy again with Nick Smith Jr. back in the lineup, and I just think this is a spot where Arkansas bullies their way to a double-digit win and cover at home in this one. Give me the Hogs laying the points.