Arkansas vs Mississippi State Prediction 3/8/25 College Basketball Picks Today
Mississippi State (20-10) vs. Arkansas (18-12)
March 8, 2025 12:00 pm EDT
The Line: Arkansas +1; Over/Under: 148.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Mississippi State Bulldogs and Arkansas Razorbacks meet Saturday in college basketball action at the Bud Walton Arena. Here’s a Arkansas vs Mississippi State Prediction. This article will include a Arkansas vs Mississippi State Pick.
Mississippi State Bulldogs Betting Preview
The Mississippi State Bulldogs recently lost to Texas and Alabama, while beating LSU. Mississippi State is 6-9 since starting the season with a 14-1 record.
The Mississippi State Bulldogs are averaging 79.2 points on 45.2 percent shooting and allowing 73.6 points on 43.5 percent shooting. Josh Hubbard is averaging 18.3 points and 3.3 assists, while KeShawn Murphy is averaging 11.6 points and 7.5 rebounds. Claudell Harris Jr. is grabbing 2.9 rebounds and Riley Kugel is dishing 1.5 assists. The Mississippi State Bulldogs are shooting 31 percent from beyond the arc and 69.9 percent from the free throw line. The Mississippi State Bulldogs are allowing 36.6 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 36 rebounds per game.
Arkansas Razorbacks Betting Preview
The Arkansas Razorbacks recently beat Texas and Vanderbilt, while losing to South Carolina. It’s senior night for an Arkansas roster that has four seniors.
The Arkansas Razorbacks are averaging 76.1 points on 46.4 percent shooting and allowing 70.2 points on 41.8 percent shooting. Adou Thiero is averaging 15.6 points and 6 rebounds, while Boogie Fland is averaging 15.1 points and 5.7 assists. DJ Wagner is the third double-digit scorer and Johnell Davis is grabbing 3.5 rebounds. The Arkansas Razorbacks are shooting 33.1 percent from beyond the arc and 72.9 percent from the free throw line. The Arkansas Razorbacks are allowing 31.5 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 32 rebounds per game.
Why the Arkansas Razorbacks will win
- The home team has won six of Arkansas’ last seven games.
- Mississippi State has lost seven of its last nine day games after coming off overtime.
- Mississippi State has lost the first half in four of its last five games against the Southeastern Conference.
Why the Mississippi State Bulldogs will win
- Arkansas has lost each of its last 11 day games against AP-ranked opponents.
- Mississippi State has won each of its last four day games against Arkansas.
- Arkansas has lost the first half in each of its last six day games against the Southeastern Conference.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Arkansas’ last six day games against Conference opponents have produced a total of 148 or fewer points.
- Nine of Mississippi State’s last 10 games against Conference opponents have produced a total of 149+ points.
Arkansas vs Mississippi State Injury Report
Arkansas will be without Boogie Fland, while Adou Their is questionable with an undisclosed issue. Mississippi State will continue to be without Kanye Clary.
Arkansas vs Mississippi State Prediction
Mississippi State hasn’t played good ball over the last month, and that includes just losing to Texas at home as a seven-point favorite. It’s hard to get behind Mississippi State, especially on the road in its current form. Arkansas has been hit or miss all season but has won three of its last four games and is at home where it’s won 12 of 16 tries. It’s also senior night for somebody like Johnell Davis, so the Razorbacks will have extra motivation as well. Toss up spot, I’m going to lean toward Arkansas at home rather than just assuming Mississippi State will get its act together.
