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Arkansas vs Missouri Prediction 2/22/25 College Basketball Picks Today

Missouri (20-6) vs. Arkansas (15-11)
February 22, 2025 8:00 pm EDT
The Line: Arkansas +2.5; Over/Under: 150
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article we will formulate an Arkansas vs Missouri prediction for this College Basketball game on Saturday, February 22nd at Bud Walton Arena in Fayetteville, Arkansas. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Basketball matchup.

Arkansas Razorbacks Betting Preview

The Arkansas Razorbacks are 15-11 (4-9) this year after they lost to Auburn by a score of 67-60 in their last game. Arkansas trailed 33-27 at halftime and played pretty tough in the second half, but only managed 33 points. The Razorbacks shot 45.5% from the field, 15.8% on three pointers, and 50% on free throws in the game. Adou Thiero led Arkansas with 16 points and four rebounds, while Johnell Davis added 14 points and four assists in the game. 


Prior to that loss, the Razorbacks lost to Texas A&M by a score of 69-61, but did beat LSU by a score of 70-58 before that. Arkansas has lost three of their last four games and they are currently near the bottom of the SEC standings with a 4-9 record. Arkansas has scored 75.5 points per game and they have allowed 68.8 points against per game, while also averaging 35.2 rebounds and 14.5 assists per game this year. Adou Thiero is averaging 15.8 points, 6.0 rebounds, and 1.9 assists per game, while Johnell Davis is averaging 10.3 points, 3.6 rebounds, and 1.6 assists per game this season. Arkansas is shooting 46.5% from the field, 72.5% on free throws, and 33.2% on three pointers this year. 

Missouri Tigers Betting Preview

The Missouri Tigers are 20-6 (9-4) this season after they defeated Alabama by a score of 110-98 in their last game. Missouri led 59-46 at halftime, but they did allow 52 points in the second half in the win. The Tigers shot 60.3% from the field, 39.1% on three pointers, and 66% on free throws in the game. Mark Mitchell led Missouri with 31 points and three rebounds, while Caleb Grill added 25 points and 10 rebounds in the win. 

Prior to that victory, the Tigers defeated Georgia by a score of 87-74 and Oklahoma by a score of 82-58. Missouri has won three games in a row and they are currently tied for fourth in the SEC standings with a 9-4 record. Missouri has scored 83.7 points per game and they have allowed 70.1 points against per game, while also averaging 34.7 rebounds and 13.9 assists per game this season. Mark Mitchell is averaging 13.6 points, 4.7 rebounds, and 1.8 assists per game, while Tamar Bates is averaging 13.4 points, 2.7 rebounds, and 1.2 assists per game this year. Missouri is shooting 48.5% from the field, 71.9% on free throws, and 37.1% on three pointers this season. 

Why Arkansas will beat Missouri

  • Missouri has lost nine of its last 10 games at Bud Walton Arena.
  • Arkansas has won nine of its last 10 home games against Missouri at Bud Walton Arena.
  • Arkansas has won the first half in four of its last five night games against Missouri.

Total Points Facts

  • Six of the last seven games between Missouri and Arkansas at Bud Walton Arena have produced a total of 149 or fewer points.
  • Six of Missouri’s last seven games at Bud Walton Arena have produced a total of 149 or fewer points.

Arkansas vs Missouri Prediction 

Missouri comes into this matchup after picking up a huge win against Alabama in their last game, but they will be on the road for this contest. The Tigers have won three games in a row and they are 3-3 in their last six road games. Missouri is shooting 48.5% from the field this year and they have scored at least 81 points in four of their last five games. Arkansas has lost three of their last four games and they have scored 61 and 60 points in their last two. The Razorbacks have been a disappointing team this season, but they do have wins against Michigan and Kentucky, so they are capable of beating good teams. Missouri is the better team in this matchup, but I think this is a very tough spot for them after that physical win against Alabama. Take Arkansas at home here. 

David Racey's Free Pick: Arkansas +2.5

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David Racey

David started writing about sports in 2015, but sports has been his passion for as long as he can remember. David spends most of his free time watching pretty much anything sports related from Baseball to Tennis and everything in between. David likes to analyze statistics and recent results to form an unbiased opinion on whatever game he is breaking down. Follow David on Twitter at @itsyerboi41

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