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Auburn vs Florida Prediction 4/5/25 College Basketball Picks Today

Florida (34-4) vs. Auburn (32-5)
April 5, 2025 6:09 pm EDT
The Line: Auburn +2.5; Over/Under: 159.5
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In this article, we will formulate an Auburn vs Florida prediction for this College Basketball game on Saturday, April 5, at the  Alamodome in San Antonio, TX. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this game in the Final Four of the NCAA Tournament. The winner of this game will meet Houston or Duke in the National Championship Game.

Florida Gators Betting Preview

The Florida Gators (34-4, 27-11 ATS) have been tested only once over the past month, and it was against UConn in the second round of the NCAA Tournament when the Gators won 77-75. Florida beat Missouri, Alabama, and Tennessee without issues to claim the SEC Title and then opened the Big Dance with an easy win over Norfolk State. In the Sweet 16, Maryland was a no-match to Florida as the Gators secured a comfortable 87-71 victory. The Gators then defeated Texas Tech 84-79 in the Elite 8.


Florida is averaging 85.4 PPG (4th) and is allowing 69.7 PPG (103rd). The Gators are getting 41.9 RPG (5th) and dishing out 15.7 APG (63rd). Walter Clayton Jr. is the team’s top performer with 18.1 PPG, 3.6 RPG, 4.2 APG, and 1.2 SPG. Alijah Martin has 14.5 PPG, 4.6 RPG, 2.3 APG, and 1.5 SPG, while Will Richard contributes 13.3 PPG, 4. RPG, and a team-high 1.6 SPG.

Auburn Tigers Betting Preview

The Auburn Tigers (32-5, 21-16 ATS) lost the final two games of the regular season but still secured the No. 1 seed for the SEC tournament. The Tigars entered the conference tourney in the quarterfinals and beat Ole Miss 62-57, but they fell short to Tennessee in the semis 70-65. Auburn was solid in the NCAA tournament so far, defeating Alabama State, Creighton, Michigan, and Michigan State.

Auburn is averaging 83.2 PPG (13th) and is allowing 69.2 PPG (87th). The Tigers are getting 37.6 RPG (72nd) and dishing out 16.3 APG (41st). Johni Broome is the team’s top performer with 18.7 PPG, 10.9 RPG, 2.9 APG, and 2.1 BPG. Chad Baker-Mazara has 12.2 PPG, 3.1 RPG, 2.7 APG, and a team-high 1.1 SPG, while Tahaad Pettiford contributes 11.7 PPG, 2.2 RPG, and 2.9 APG.

Why Florida will beat Auburn

  • Florida has won each of its last 10 games.
  • Auburn has lost three of its last four games against the Southeastern Conference.
  • Auburn has lost the first half in three of its last four games against Top 5 AP-ranked opponents.

Why Auburn will beat Florida

  • Auburn has won each of its last seven games when playing with a rest disadvantage.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of Auburn’s last 13 games against the Southeastern Conference at neutral venues have produced a total of 153 or fewer points.
  • Eight of Florida’s last nine night games at a neutral venue have produced a total of 164+ points.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Auburn ranks 2nd among Division 1 teams for defensive rating this season (101.9).
  • Auburn ranks 2nd among Division 1 teams for points per possession this season (1.24).
  • Florida ranks 5th among Division 1 teams for net rating this season (+23.3).
  • Florida ranks 7th among Division 1 teams for field goal attempts per game this season (64.2).

Auburn vs Florida Prediction

These teams have traded victories in the past few years, as each recorded five in the previous ten H2H encounters. Florida was better in this season’s clash; the Gators won 90-81 at Auburn. I expect another high-scoring game, even though it’s a high-stakes game. These offenses are simply too good to defend, and I expect to see at least 160 points here. Auburn has hit the Game Total Over in 20 of its last 34 games; Florida has hit the Team Total Over in 14 of its previous 17 games, while the Gators have hit the Game Total Over in their last 11 games.

Oliver Zivic's Free Pick: Over 159.5

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Oliver Zivic

Professional journalist and expert bettor with 20+ years of experience. I cover Football (soccer), NFL, NBA, NHL, MLB, CFB, and CBB.

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