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Auburn vs Ole Miss Prediction 3/14/25 College Basketball Picks Today

Ole Miss (21-10) vs. Auburn (27-4)
March 14, 2025 1:00 pm EDT
The Line: Auburn -10.5; Over/Under: 154.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Ole Miss Rebels and the Auburn Tigers meet Friday in SEC Tournament college basketball action from Bridgestone Arena. Here’s an Auburn vs Ole Miss prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Auburn vs Ole Miss pick.

Ole Miss Rebels Betting Preview

The Rebels have done a pretty good job record-wise amid a tough schedule this year, but they have had a couple of shaky runs along the way. Ole Miss hit a nice 15-2 start over their first 17 games, losing to only Purdue and Memphis during that time. The Rebels went just 1-4 over the next five outings though, beating only Texas among losses to Mississippi State, Texas A&M, Missouri and Auburn. After wins over Kentucky, LSU and South Carolina in the next three, the Rebels gave it back with losses to Mississippi State, Vanderbilt and Auburn. Since then it’s been a 3-1 run with a lone loss to Florida amid wins over Oklahoma, Tennessee and Arkansas. In total over 32 games so far this year that gives Ole Miss a 22-10 record in the books.


On Thursday versus Arkansas, Ole Miss was outscored 46-41 in the second half but managed to eke out the win in dramatic fashion 83-80. The Rebels’ leading scorer was Malik Dia with 19 points, eight rebounds and three steals.

Auburn Tigers Betting Preview

Over on the Auburn side, they’ve been great all year long but they’ve also suffered consecutive losses for the first time all year in their most recent two outings. The Tigers lost to only Duke in their first eight, then beat Richmond, Ohio State, Georgia State, Purdue, Monmouth, Missouri, Texas, South Carolina, Mississippi State, Georgia, Tennessee, LSU, Ole Miss and Oklahoma before another loss to Florida. Auburn picked it up again with wins over Vanderbilt, Alabama, Arkansas, Georgia, Ole Miss and Kentucky, then took losses in consecutive games to Texas A&M and Alabama. That gives the Tigers a 27-4 run through 31 games this year so far.

In the Alabama home rematch on Saturday, the Tigers went into the second half with a 45-42 deficit. Auburn eventually forced overtime but ended up losing 93-91 in the end. Tops in scoring was Johni Broome with 34 points, eight rebounds, three assists, three steals and five blocks. Tahaad Pettiford came off the bench for 19 points, four rebounds and six assists in 34 minutes of work, and Miles Kelly had 13 points with four rebounds and one assist in 36 minutes. Denver Jones chipped in nine points with six assists and two rebounds as well.

Why the Auburn Tigers will win

  • Auburn has won each of its last 17 games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
  • Ole Miss has lost each of its last 10 day games against AP-ranked opponents.
  • Auburn has won the first half in 18 of its last 19 games against non-AP-ranked opponents.

Why the Ole Miss Rebels will win

  • Ole Miss has won five of its last six day games played at neutral venues.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of Auburn’s last 11 games against Conference opponents at neutral venues have produced a total of 153 or fewer points.
  • Nine of Ole Miss’ last 10 games at Bridgestone Arena have produced a total of 151 or fewer points.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Auburn ranks 2nd among Division 1 teams for blocks per game this season (6.4).
  • Auburn ranks 2nd among Division 1 teams for offensive rating this season (124.0).
  • Ole Miss ranks 3rd among Division 1 teams for turnovers per game this season (8.8).
  • Ole Miss ranks 3rd among Division 1 teams for turnover percentage this season (11.2%).

Auburn vs Ole Miss Prediction

I’ll still lean toward Auburn. The Tigers have a lot to prove in this tournament run following consecutive losses in their last two games. In the Alabama defeat at home, the Tigers shot well (47.9 percent) and had just nine turnovers. That said, Auburn also missed six of 17 free throws (64.7 percent), got out-rebounded 41-33 and gave up 52.2 percent shooting on defense. The 20 points off 15 Alabama turnovers helped, but it wasn’t enough. Including the losses to Texas A&M and Florida, Auburn is now just 6-3 in their last nine games—which isn’t very good for them this year.

These teams have met twice before during the regular season, with Auburn taking the victory both times. The Tigers managed a 92-82 road win on February 1, then a 106-76 blowout victory at home on February 26. In that latest matchup, Auburn scored a whopping 56 points in the second half on the way to 59.6 percent shooting from the field, 52.4 percent (11-of-21) from 3-point range and 81.8 percent (27-of-33) from the line. With the 33-20 rebounding advantage and the 18 points off 10 Ole Miss turnovers, it wasn’t much of a game. This one may not be so lopsided but Auburn definitely has the edge in most facets.

Andrew's Free Pick: Auburn Tigers -10.5

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Andrew

Andrew has been writing about college, professional and fantasy sports betting since 2013. Andrew's goal is to break down the complicated numbers and trends into a language that's easily accessible to novice sports bettors and seasoned professionals alike.

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