Austin Peay vs Murray State 2/3/22 College Basketball Picks, Predictions, Odds

The Murray State Racers and the Austin Peay Governors meet in college basketball action from the Winfield Dunn Center on Thursday night.

The Murray State Racers will look to build on their double-digit winning streak after a 77-66 win over Morehead State last time out. Tevin Brown leads the Racers in scoring with 17.5 PPG along with 5.3 RPG and 3.5 APG while KJ Williams is right behind with 17 PPG and 8.9 RPG to least the Racers on the glass. Justice Hill has 13.7 PPG with a team-high 4.8 APG to lead the Racers in assists to make up the group of double-digit scorers for Murray State so far this season. Trae Hannibal has 9.5 PPG with 5 RPG and 2.9 APG while DJ Burns also has 6.5 RPG this season. As a team, Murray State is averaging 82.1 PPG on 48.8% shooting from the field, 36.2% from three and 67.3% from the foul line while allowing 63.5 PPG on 40.8% shooting from the field and 29.8% from three this season.

The Austin Peay Governors will look to build on back-to-back wins over SIU-Edwardsville last time out. Elijah Hutchins-Everett leads Austin Peay in scoring and rebounding with 13.6 PPG and 7.4 RPG while Tariq Silver has 10.8 PPG and Caleb Stone-Carrawell has 12.2 PPG to cap off the group of double-digit scorers for Austin Peay so far this season. Cameron Copeland has 9.6 PPG while Carlos Paez has a team-high 3.5 APG as well for the Governors this year. As a team, Austin Peay is averaging 67.4 PPG on 42.7% shooting from the field, 30.8% from three and 71.5% from the foul line while allowing 70 PPG on 45.5% shooting from the field and 27.5% from three this season.

Murray State is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games overall and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games against a team with a winning percentage below .400 while the under is 7-3 in their last 10 games against a team with a winning percentage below .400. Austin Peay is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home games and 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a win while the under is 4-0 in their last 4 home games.

I get the case to be made for Murray State as they’re the far better team here, but a lot of their recent success has come at home and as much of a disparity as there may be here, laying this many points still feels tough for some reason, maybe because Austin Peay’s been covering a fair bit lately, but I’m not sure I can trust them here either. I’m going to side with the over as I’m expecting a game that gets well into the 140s here if not higher. Give me the over.