Baylor vs Louisville Prediction 2/14/26 College Basketball Picks Today

The Louisville Cardinals and Baylor Bears meet Saturday in college basketball action at the Dickies Arena. Here’s a Baylor vs Louisville Prediction. This article will include a Baylor vs Louisville Pick.

Louisville Cardinals Betting Preview

The Louisville Cardinals beat NC State and Wake Forest, and they play SMU next. Louisville has won 6 of its last 7 games.

The Louisville Cardinals are averaging 87.1 points on 47 percent shooting and allowing 71 points on 40.4 percent shooting. Ryan Conwell is averaging 18.9 points and 5 rebounds, while Mikel Brown Jr. is averaging 17.3 points and 3.3 rebounds. Isaac McKneely is the third double-digit scorer, and Sananda Fru is grabbing 6.5 rebounds. The Louisville Cardinals are shooting 35.5 percent from beyond the arc and 76.7 percent from the free throw line. The Louisville Cardinals are allowing 33.2 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 38.1 rebounds per game.

Baylor Bears Betting Preview

The Baylor Bears lost to Iowa State and BYU, and they play Kansas State next. Baylor has lost 6 of its last 8 games.

The Baylor Bears are averaging 83.9 points on 48.3 percent shooting and allowing 75.9 points on 43.9 percent shooting. Cameron Carr is averaging 19.8 points and 5.9 rebounds, while Tounde Yessoufou is averaging 18.5 points and 5.8 rebounds. Obi Agbim is the third double-digit scorer and Dan Skillings Jr. is grabbing 6.5 rebounds. The Baylor Bears are shooting 36.4 percent from beyond the arc and 72.4 percent from the free throw line. The Baylor Bears are allowing 3.7 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 35.1 rebounds per game.

Why the Baylor Bears will win

• Baylor has won 39 of its last 46 day games against non-Conference opponents.
• Louisville has lost five of its last six day games against non-AP-ranked opponents at a neutral venue.
• Louisville has lost the first half in each of its last five games against non-AP-ranked opponents at a neutral venue.

Why the Louisville Cardinals will win

• Baylor has lost each of its last 12 games against AP-ranked opponents.
• Louisville has won each of its last 11 Saturday games as an AP-ranked team against a non-AP-ranked team.
• Louisville has won the first half in each of its last nine February games as an AP-ranked team.

Total Points Facts

• Twelve of Baylor’s last 13 day games against AP-ranked opponents have produced a total of 158 or fewer points.
• Forty of Louisville’s last 44 games at a neutral venue have produced a total of 162 or fewer points.

Baylor vs Louisville Prediction

Louisville is the better team and has had some success on the road, but this feels like too many points. Louisville has failed to cover 7 of its last 10 games and is 3-5 ATS in its last 8 games as a favorite. Baylor had its chances to upset Baylor and Iowa State, but it snagged a nice road upset over West Virginia. It feels like Baylor is close to getting a signature victory. I’m not sure if it happens here, but it’s enough to grab the points and expect a competitive effort from the Bears. Give me the points on Saturday afternoon.