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Baylor vs Oklahoma Prediction 4/4/26 College Basketball Picks Today

Oklahoma (20-15) vs. Baylor (17-16)
April 4, 2026 1:30 pm EDT
The Line: Baylor +1.5; Over/Under: 158.5
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article we will formulate a Baylor vs Oklahoma prediction for this College Basketball game on Saturday, April 4th at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Basketball Crown matchup.

Baylor Bears Betting Preview

The Baylor Bears are 17-16 (6-12) this season after they defeated Minnesota by a score of 67-48 in their last game. Baylor led 31-26 at halftime and they held Minnesota to just 22 points in the second half for the easy win. The Bears shot 47% from the field, 32% on three pointers, and 88% on free throws in the game. Tounde Yessoufou led Baylor with 19 points and seven rebounds, while Obi Agbim added 17 points and six rebounds in the win. 

Prior to that game, Baylor lost to Arizona State by a score of 83-79, but did beat Utah by a score of 101-75 before that. The Bears have scored 82.1 points per game with 36.8 rebounds and 15.6 assists per game, while they have allowed 76.3 points against per game this season. Cameron Carr is averaging 19.0 points and 5.6 rebounds per game, while Tounde Yessoufou is averaging 17.9 points and 5.9 rebounds per game for the Bears. Baylor is shooting 47.9% from the field, 73.2% on free throws, and 34.5% on three pointers this season. 

Oklahoma Sooners Betting Preview

The Oklahoma Sooners are 20-15 (7-11) this year after they defeated Colorado in overtime by a score of 90-86 in their last game. Oklahoma trailed 41-37 at halftime, but they held Colorado to just 33 points in the second half, before getting the OT win. The Sooners shot 37% from the field, 27% on three pointers, and 88% on free throws in the game. Nijel Pack led Oklahoma with 20 points and five assists, while Tae Davis added 19 points and three assists in the win. 

Prior to that game, Oklahoma lost to Arkansas by a score of 82-79, but did defeat Texas A&M by a score of 83-63 before that. The Sooners have scored 82.9 points per game with 35.8 rebounds and 14.3 assists per game, while they have allowed 77.3 points against per game this season. Nijel Pack is averaging 16.6 points and 3.0 rebounds per game, while Xzayvier Brown is averaging 15.3 points and 3.2 assists per game for the Sooners. Oklahoma is shooting 47.0% from the field, 74.5% on free throws, and 36.8% on three pointers this season. 

Why the Baylor Bears will win

  • Baylor has won 11 of its last 12 games against Oklahoma.
  • Oklahoma has lost five of its last six games after coming off overtime.
  • Baylor has won the first half in eight of its last nine games against Oklahoma.

Why the Oklahoma Sooners will win

  • Oklahoma has won each of its last 15 day games against non-Conference opponents.
  • Baylor has lost four of its last five day games played at neutral venues.
  • Oklahoma has won the first half in four of its last five games against non-Conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of the last 12 games between Oklahoma and Baylor have produced a total of 158 or fewer points.
  • Fifty-nine of Oklahoma’s last 67 games against the Big 12 Conference have produced a total of 158 or fewer points.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Baylor ranks 29th among Division 1 teams for field goals made per game this season (29.3).
  • Baylor ranks 38th among Division 1 teams for offensive rating this season (119.1).
  • Oklahoma ranks 18th among Division 1 teams for offensive rating this season (121.1).
  • Oklahoma ranks 18th among Division 1 teams for points per possession this season (1.21).

Baylor vs Oklahoma Prediction 

Oklahoma barely survived in overtime against Colorado in their last game and they continue to play in high scoring games. The Sooners have scored at least 82 points in five straight games, but they have allowed at least 79 in three of their last five. Baylor blew out Minnesota in their last game and they have allowed 75+ points in four of their last five. I don’t like either defense in this game, but I trust the Oklahoma offense to play better late in the game. Take the Sooners to win here. 

David Racey's Free Pick: Oklahoma ML

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David Racey

David started writing about sports in 2015, but sports has been his passion for as long as he can remember. David spends most of his free time watching pretty much anything sports related from Baseball to Tennis and everything in between. David likes to analyze statistics and recent results to form an unbiased opinion on whatever game he is breaking down. Follow David on Twitter at @itsyerboi41

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