Belmont vs Murray State Prediction 3/2/25 College Basketball Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Belmont vs Murray State Prediction for this college basketball game on Sunday, March 2nd, at the Curb Event Center. Let’s take a look at a Belmont Bruins vs Murray State Racers pick. 

When these two teams faced off in January, Belmont secured the 95-77 win. 

Can Murray State Build on Last Game?

Murray State has been a little back and forth the last couple of games, but they are coming off a victory in the last game. The Racers faced off against Indiana State, scoring 85 points on the way to a 10-point triumph. They were down 10 points at halftime, but in the second half, they scored 46 points to pick up the win. Terence Harcum put up 25 points and one rebound. The real difference in the game was the free throw line, with Murray State attempting 41 free throws while making 30 of them. 

After so many successful years, Murray State is in the middle of the pack. They have gone 15-15 straight up and 12-15-1 against the spread. The strength of this team is that the defense is giving up 69.6 points per game. They are also averaging 16.8 free throws per game. Getting to the line is essential, but also hitting a couple of shots from deep will be key. Jacobi Wood is the team leader, averaging 13.5 points while shooting 40.1 percent from the field and 38.3 percent from behind the three-point line. 

Belmont Heating Up?

It appears that Belmont is getting hot at the right time, with this being the last regular season game, and they have won two games in a row. On Wednesday, they faced off against Missouri State on the road and secured a 74-65 victory. Belmont shot 47.4 percent from the field while allowing Missouri State to hit only 44 percent. Tyler Lundblade had a strong game, putting up 22 points and two rebounds. As good as they looked, only one player scored more than three points off the bench and getting some more help there will help. 

Belmont has a 20-10 record overall, and they have gone 12-15-2 against the spread. Belmont averages 80.7 points per game, but the defense is often optional. One of the reasons they have found so much success with the offense has been the 39.09 percent that they have shot from deep. Jonathan Pierre has been the top player, averaging 14 points while shooting 40.9 percent from the field. I would expect Belmont to try to push the pace here and put the pressure on. The faster this game, is the better the chance that Belmont will end up coming out ahead. 

Why Belmont Will Beat Murray State

• Belmont has won 12 of its last 13 day games at Curb Event Center against non-AP-ranked opponents.
• Murray State has lost four of its last five day games.
• Murray State has lost the first half in five of its last six games at Curb Event Center.

Belmont vs Murray State Prediction

Belmont already dominated Murray State one time this season, and their offense was the biggest reason why. It wasn’t a fluke game, though, as Belmont is an elite offensive team averaging over 80 points per game. They get up and down and run, something that Murray State will struggle with. Murray State averages 72.5 points per game, but that offensive output isn’t enough to be competitive here. Belmont scored 95 in the first game this year against Murray State; they will get close to matching it here. Back Belmont against the spread.