
Boise State vs New Mexico Prediction 2/19/25 College Basketball Picks Today
New Mexico (22-4) vs. Boise State (17-8)
February 19, 2025 10:00 pm EDT
The Line: Boise State -2.5; Over/Under: 150.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The New Mexico Lobos and the Boise State Broncos meet Wednesday in college basketball action from ExtraMile Arena. Here’s a Boise State vs New Mexico prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Boise State vs New Mexico pick.
New Mexico Lobos Betting Preview
Record-wise the Lobos have done a great job this year, with only a few scattered losses in the books. New Mexico went 7-3 over their first 10 outings with losses to St. John’s, Arizona State, and New Mexico State among wins over Nicholls, UCLA, Texas A&M-CC, Grambling, Texas Southern, USC, and San Jose State. After a win streak over Western New Mexico, VCU, Colorado State, Fresno State, Nevada, Wyoming, and San Diego State, the Lobos fell versus San Jose State. Since then it’s been another win streak as New Mexico has dispatched Boise State, Fresno State, UNLV, Utah State, Colorado State, Air Force, Wyoming, and Utah State. That gives the Lobos a 22-4 overall record through their first 26 outings of the season.
In the Utah State matchup on Sunday, the Lobos came out of the locker room with a 42-36 deficit. New Mexico came alive in the second half on a 46-37 run though, eventually taking the win 82-79. Leading the team in scoring along the way was Tru Washington with 25 points, five rebounds, four assists, and four steals. Donovan Dent added 23 points with three rebounds, three assists, and two steals. Nelly Junior Joseph had 15 points with five rebounds, one assist, and one steal, while Filip Borovicanin added 11 points with five boards and two assists.
Boise State Broncos Betting Preview
Over on the Boise State side, they had a choppy run going last month but otherwise, they’ve done quite well themselves. The Broncos went 6-3 in their first nine with losses to San Francisco, Boston College, and Washington State among wins over Oakland, Corban College, Clemson, Hampton, South Dakota State, and Utah Tech. Boise State beat Saint Mary’s, Texas Southern, Air Force, San Jose State, and Wyoming in the next five, then hit a 2-4 run with wins over only UNLV and Wyoming. The losses otherwise in that time came versus San Diego State, Utah State, New Mexico, and Colorado State. After wins versus Nevada, Fresno State, UNLV, and San Jose State, the Broncos took another loss to San Diego State. In total that gives Boise State a 17-8 overall record so far through 25 games this year.
Matched up against San Diego State in their Saturday outing, the Broncos were in trouble at the break on a 28-18 deficit. Boise State didn’t get any closer after a 36-29 second half and took the loss at the end 64-47. Tyson Degenhart was the team’s only double-digit scorer, notching 17 points with 12 boards and one assist. Alvaro Cardenas added eight points and three assists in 39 minutes, while Pearson Carmichael put up seven points off the bench.
Why the Boise State Broncos will win
- Boise State has won 38 of its last 40 night games against the Mountain West Conference at ExtraMile Arena.
- New Mexico has lost each of its last six games at ExtraMile Arena.
- Boise State has won the first half in each of its last eight night games at ExtraMile Arena.
Why the New Mexico Lobos will win
- New Mexico has won 18 of its last 19 games against the Mountain West Conference.
- The road team has won the first half in each of New Mexico’s last three games.
Boise State vs New Mexico Prediction
I’m going to lean toward the Lobos. New Mexico got off to something of a slow start in their latest win over Utah State, but everything worked out in the end. The Lobos shot 46.2 percent from the field with a 35-27 rebounding advantage, but it was a sloppy game overall. New Mexico committed 14 of the 28 total turnovers, which turned into 19 Utah State points. That makes eight straight wins for the Lobos now, with 71 or more points scored in each game.
New Mexico kicked off this current win streak with an 84-65 victory over Boise State in a home matchup back on January 17. The Lobos shot a nice 54.4 percent from the field in that one with 20 points off 17 Broncos turnovers. Boise State should play better in the home rematch (with fewer mistakes), but I still like New Mexico to keep their current run going.