Boise State vs San Diego State Prediction 1-4-25 College Basketball Picks
San Diego State (8-3) vs. Boise State (11-3)
January 4, 2025 4:00 pm EDT
The Line: Boise State -4.5; Over/Under: +137.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The San Diego State Aztecs and Boise State Broncos meet Saturday in college basketball action at the ExtraMile Arena. Here’s a Boise State vs San Diego State Prediction. This article will include a Boise State vs San Diego State Pick.
San Diego State Aztecs Betting Preview
The San Diego State Aztecs beat Cal, lost to Utah State, and they play Air Force, New Mexico, and Colorado State next. The San Diego State Aztecs are averaging 74.4 points on 44.8 percent shooting and allowing 63.6 points on 35.5 percent shooting. Nick Boyd is averaging 13.5 points and 4.6 rebounds, while Miles Byrd is averaging 13.1 points and 4.5 rebounds. BJ Davis is the third double-digit scorer and Wayne McKinney III is dishing 1.1 assists. The San Diego State Aztecs are shooting 36.5 percent from beyond the arc and 71.8 percent from the free throw line. The San Diego State Aztecs are allowing 29 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 34.3 rebounds per game.
Boise State Broncos Betting Preview
The Boise State Broncos beat San Jose State and Wyoming, and they play UNLV, Utah State, and Wyoming. The Boise State Broncos are averaging 78.1 points on 47.5 percent shooting and allowing 65.6 points on 41.6 percent shooting. Tyson Degenhart is averaging 18.1 points and 1.6 assists, while Andrew Meadow is averaging 12.4 points and 5.5 rebounds. Alvaro Cardenas is the third double-digit scorer and Javan Buchanan is grabbing 3.5 rebounds. The Boise State Broncos are shooting 31 percent from beyond the arc and 77.5 percent from the free throw line. The Boise State Broncos are allowing 31.5 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 36.5 rebounds per game.
Why the Boise State Broncos will win
- Boise State has won each of its last 11 day games at ExtraMile Arena against non-AP-ranked opponents.
- San Diego State has lost six of its last seven games at ExtraMile Arena.
- Boise State has won the first half in each of its last 11 day games at ExtraMile Arena.
Why the San Diego State Aztecs will win
- San Diego State has won five of its last six games.
- San Diego State has won the first half in nine of its last 10 games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Seven of Boise State’s last eight day games have produced a total of 143+ points.
- Each of San Diego State’s last four games at ExtraMile Arena has produced a total of 133 or fewer points.
Boise State vs San Diego State Prediction
The Boise State Broncos are getting the benefit of the doubt because they’re at home, but this is a lot of points to just throw out there. The San Diego State Aztecs are still a tough matchup for any team in the country due to its physical defense. San Diego State is currently 27th in points allowed, third in field goal percentage allowed, and 33rd in three-point percentage defense. San Diego State doesn’t get blown out often, and points are valuable due to its ability to hang in games and defend. This should be a close one like many have been in the past.
The Boise State Broncos are also 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games and 5-8 ATS on the season. The underdog is also 5-2-1 ATS in the last 8 games between San Diego State and Boise State. Again, San Diego State has the defense to make this game interesting. I’ll take my chances with San Diego State and the free buckets on the road.
