Cal Poly vs UC Davis College Basketball Picks, Odds, Predictions 2/26/21
Cal Poly vs UC Davis College Basketball Picks, Odds, Predictions 2/26/21
2021-02-26 17:00:00 EDT
The UC Davis Aggies and the Cal Poly Mustangs meet in college basketball action from the Mott Athletic Center on Friday night.
The UC Davis Aggies will look to build off of a 78-76 win over Long Beach State last time out. Ezra Manjon leads UC Davis in scoring and assists with 15.8 PPG and 3.5 APG while Elijah Pepper has 14.8 PPG with 5 RPG and Caleb Fuller and Damion Squire each have 11.8 PPG with 3.5+ RPG to make up the group of double-digit scorers for UC-Davis up to this point in the season. Kennedy Koehler also has a team-high 5.3 RPG for the Aggies to lead UC Davis on the glass this season. As a team, UC Davis is averaging 75.3 PPG on 44% shooting from the field, 33.8% from 3-point range and 76.9% from the foul line while allowing 74.7 PPG on 48.6% shooting from the field and 35.4% from 3-point land this season.
The Cal Poly Mustangs will be out to bounce back from a 74-69 loss to Long Beach State last time out. Alimamy Koroma leads the Mustangs in scoring with 13.3 PPG and also in rebounding with 5.5 RPG while Colby Roberts has 10.1 PPG as well for Cal Poly this year to make up the duo of double-digit scorers for the Mustangs. Keith Smith has a team-high 3.8 APG as well for Cal Poly this season. As a team, Cal Poly is averaging 61.2 PPG on 38.7% shooting from the field, 29.9% from 3-point range and 70.1% from the foul line while allowing 71.2 PPG on 44.9% shooting from the field and 35.8% from 3-point range this season.
UC Davis is 4-9-2 ATS in their last 15 games overall and 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 road games under is 5-2 in their last 7 games following a win. Cal Poly is 3-10-1 ATS in their last 14 games overall and 17-43 ATS in their last 60 home games while the under is 5-2 in their last 7 home games against a team with a losing road record. The favorite is 8-0 ATS in the last 8 meetings between these two teams.
I’ve gone back and forth on this game, as UC Davis isn’t the first team I think of as a road favorite, but Cal Poly’s been that bad on offense this season as well. Instead, I’m going to side with the under as the last three meetings have all gone under the number and two of those meetings went under by a mile. I just don’t think there’s going to be a ton of scoring here regardless of who it’s from, so I’ll take the under in this spot.