California vs Florida State Prediction 3/11/26 College Basketball Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a California vs Florida State Prediction for this ACC Tournament matchup on Wednesday, March 11^th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this college basketball matchup.

Florida State Seminoles Preview

The Florida State Seminoles have a 17-14 overall record and a 10-8 record in the ACC conference. They are coming off a 91-78 home win against SMU and their previous three games were a 75-74 road win against Pittsburgh, an 80-71 road win against Georgia Tech and an 83-73 home loss against Miami.

Offensively, Florida State averages 79.9 points per game, while allowing 77.5 points per game defensively. The Seminoles shoot with 43% from the field and grab 36 rebounds per game, while dishing out 14.3 assists per game. They average 3.9 blocks per game and 7.8 steals per game defensively.

Robert McCray V leads Florida State in scoring, with an average of 15.6 points per game, while shooting with 44.8% from the field and 71.5% from the free throw line, adding a team-high 6.1 assists. Lajae Jones is the team’s leading rebounder with 5.7 per game.

California Golden Bears Preview

The California Golden Bears have a 21-10 overall record and a 9-9 record in the ACC conference. They are coming off an 80-73 road loss against Wake Forest and their previous three games were a 76-65 road win against Georgia Tech, a 72-56 home loss against Pittsburgh and a 73-69 home win against SMU.

Offensively, California averages 77.5 points per game, while allowing 72.5 points per game defensively. The Golden Bears shoot with 44% from the field and grab 34.6 rebounds per game, while dishing out 13.8 assists per game. They average 3.1 blocks per game and 6 steals per game defensively.

Dai Dai Ames leads California in scoring, with an average of 16.9 points per game, while shooting with 46.5% from the field and 87.2% from the free throw line. Lee Dort is the team’s leading rebounder with 7.6 per game. Justin Pippen leads the team in assists with 4.4 per game.

California Golden Bears @ Florida State Seminoles Betting Trends: March 11, 2026

Why the Florida State Seminoles will win

• California has lost each of its last seven night games against non-AP-ranked opponents at a neutral venue.
• Florida State has won nine of its last 10 games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
• California has lost the first half in 14 of its last 16 games played at neutral venues.

Why the California Golden Bears will win

• Florida State has lost each of its last four games played at neutral venues.
• California has won eight of its last 10 night games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
• Florida State has lost the first half in five of its last six Conference Tournament games.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Florida State’s last eight Wednesday games against Conference opponents have produced a total of 152 or fewer points.
• Six of California’s last seven night games have produced a total of 144 or fewer points.

Matchup/League Facts

• Florida State is one of only six teams to reach the Sweet 16 in each of its last three NCAA Tournament appearances.
• Florida State ranks 10th among Division 1 teams for three-point field goal attempts per game this season (31.6).
• California ranks 1st among Division 1 teams for opponent free throw percentage this season (66.0%).
• California ranks 13th among Division 1 teams for free throw percentage this season (78.3%).

California vs Florida State Prediction

In this California vs Florida State Prediction, Florida State is coming as -2.5 favorites. California has been the better team this season but have lost two of their last three games. On the flip side, Florida State is 8-2 in its last 10 games and have been better on the road than California. FSU has also won its regular season meeting against California by 63-61 at home, so I like them as underdogs in this spot. Take Florida State and lay the short number in this one.