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Cincinnati vs Dayton Prediction 12-20-24 College Basketball Picks

Dayton (10-2) vs. Cincinnati (8-1)
December 20, 2024 8:30 pm EDT
The Line: Cincinnati -3.5; Over/Under: +138.5
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate a Cincinnati vs Dayton prediction for this College Basketball game on Friday, December 20th at the Heritage Bank Center in Cincinnati, Ohio. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Basketball matchup.

Dayton Flyers Betting Preview

The Dayton Flyers are 10-2 this year after they defeated UNLV by a score of 66-65 in their last game. Dayton trailed 28-27 at the half, but they scored 39 points in the second half for the win. The Flyers shot 47.1% from the field, 23.8% on three-pointers, and 81.3% on free throws in the game. Nate Santos led Dayton with 14 points and four rebounds in the win. 


Prior to that game, the Flyers won four games in a row against Marquette, Lehigh, Western Michigan, and UConn. Dayton has scored 78.7 points per game and they have allowed 67.3 points per game, while also averaging 35.3 rebounds and 17.5 assists per game this season. Enoch Cheeks is averaging 14.7 points, 7.5 rebounds, and 1.6 assists per game, while Dayton is shooting 49.5% from the field, 70.3% on free throws, and 36.4% on three-pointers this year. 

Cincinnati Bearcats Betting Preview

The Cincinnati Bearcats are 8-1 this season after they defeated Xavier by a score of 68-65 in their last game. Cincinnati trailed 31-30 at halftime, but they scored 38 points in the second half for the narrow win. The Bearcats shot 37.9% from the field, 25% on three-pointers, and 73.1% on free throws in the game. Simas Lukosius led Cincinnati with 14 points and four rebounds in the game. 

Prior to that win, the Bearcats defeated Howard by a score of 84-67 but did lose to Villanova by a score of 68-60 before that. Cincinnati has scored 80.4 points per game and they have allowed 59.6 points per game, while also averaging 38.3 rebounds and 17.3 assists per game this season. Simas Lukosius is averaging 16.0 points, 3.3 rebounds, and 3.4 assists per game, while Cincinnati is shooting 50.3% from the field, 62.1% on free throws, and 37.9% on three-pointers this year. Cincinnati will take on Grambling State after this game.

Why Dayton will beat Cincinnati

  • Dayton has won 12 of its last 13 night games against non-conference opponents.
  • Cincinnati has lost five of its last six games against AP-ranked opponents at a neutral venue.
  • Dayton has won the first half in each of its last three games against AP-ranked opponents at a neutral venue.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of Cincinnati’s last five games against AP-ranked opponents has produced a total of 129 or fewer points.
  • Each of Dayton’s last four games at a neutral venue has produced a total of 146+ points.

Cincinnati vs Dayton Prediction 

Both of these teams come into this matchup ranked in the top 25 and will be looking to pick up a big win here. Dayton has won five games in a row and has only lost to Iowa State and UNC. The Flyers are shooting nearly 50% from the field and have held their last three opponents to 65 points or fewer. Cincinnati’s lone loss came against Villanova and they have wins over Georgia Tech and Xavier. This should be a great game, but I think Dayton has played the harder schedule and has been more impressive, so I like them to get the win here. 

David Racey's Free Pick: Dayton ML

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David Racey

David started writing about sports in 2015, but sports has been his passion for as long as he can remember. David spends most of his free time watching pretty much anything sports related from Baseball to Tennis and everything in between. David likes to analyze statistics and recent results to form an unbiased opinion on whatever game he is breaking down. Follow David on Twitter at @itsyerboi41

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