
Cincinnati vs UCF Prediction 4/3/25 College Basketball Picks Today
UCF (18-16) vs. Cincinnati (19-15)
April 3, 2025 7:00 pm EDT
The Line: Cincinnati +0.0001; Over/Under: 0.0001
(Get latest betting odds)
In this article, we will formulate a Cincinnati vs UCF prediction for this College Basketball game on Thursday, April 3, at the MGM Grand Garden Arena in Las Vegas, NV. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this game in the quarterfinals of the CBC Tournament. The winner of this game will meet Villanova or USC in the semifinals.
UCF Knights Betting Preview
The UCF Knights (18-16, 16-18 ATS) went through their worst period of the season after suffering seven consecutive defeats in February. They managed to stabilize and win three of the remaining five regular-season games to enter the Big 12 tournament as the No. 14 seed. UCF beat Utah in the first round and nearly upset Kansas in the second round, but the Jayhawls edged the Knights in overtime. The luck was on UCF’s side in the opening game at the CBC as the Knights got a narrow 76-75 win over Oregon State.
UCF averages 79.2 PPG (54th) and allows 80.0 PPG (345th). The Knights are 122nd in rebounds (36.7) and 147th in assists (14.2). Keyshawn Hall leads the team with 18.8 PPG, 7.1 RPG, and 2.4 APG. Darius Johnson follows him with 16.7 PPG, 3.4 RPG, a team-high 4.3 APG, and a team-high 2.3 SPG, while Jordan Ivy-Curry chips in 12.6 PPG, 3.2 RPG, 2.3 APG, and 1.5 SPG.
Cincinnati Bearcats Betting Preview
The Cincinnati Bearcats (19-15, 15-17-2 ATS) concluded the regular season with three defeats in a row and entered the Big 12 tournament as the No. 13 seed. The Bearcats beat Oklahoma State in the first round but had no chance against Iowa State in the second round. At the CBC, Cincinnati had no trouble against DePaul in the opening round, winning 83-61.
Cincinnati is averaging 70.9 PPG (278th) and is allowing 65.6 PPG (26th). The Bearcats are getting 34.6 RPG (249th) and dishing out 13.8 APG (191st). Jizzle James is the team’s top performer with 12.8 PPG, 3.0 RPG, and 3.5 APG. Simas Lukosius has 10.3 PPG, 2.9 RPG, and 2.2 APG, while Day Day Thomas contributes 9.9 PPG, 2.6 RPG, 2.7 APG, and a team-high 1.7 SPG.
Why UCF will beat Cincinnati
- Cincinnati has lost four of its last five games against the Big 12 Conference.
- UCF has won four of its last five day games against non-AP-ranked opponents at a neutral venue.
- UCF has won the first half in each of its last four day games against non-AP-ranked opponents at a neutral venue.
Why Cincinnati will beat UCF
- Cincinnati has won eight of its last nine day games against non-AP-ranked opponents at a neutral venue.
- UCF has lost five of its last six day games against the Big 12 Conference.
- UCF has lost the first half in each of its last five games against the Big 12 Conference.
Total Points Facts
- Fifteen of Cincinnati’s last 16 day games have produced a total of 151 or fewer points.
- Six of UCF’s last seven games at a neutral venue have produced a total of 156+ points.
Matchup/League Facts
- Cincinnati ranks 362nd among Division 1 teams for free throws made per game this season (9.2).
- Cincinnati ranks T355th among Division 1 teams for free throw attempts per game this season (14.0).
- UCF ranks 13th among Division 1 teams for free throws made per game this season (17.5).
- UCF ranks 16th among Division 1 teams for pace this season (71.8).
Cincinnati vs UCF Prediction
Cincinnati won seven of the previous ten H2H encounters, including the last five. This season, the Bearcats secured a 93-83 victory at UCF. Six of the last ten H2Hs went Over, which was the case in three of the past four meetings. Cincinnati is not the team you want to involve in Over bet, given its Over/Under record this year, but UCF virtually plays no defense, and I expect a high-scoring affair here. UCF has hit the Team Total Over in 15 of its last 25 games, while the Knights have hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their previous 32 games. Go with Over.