Cincinnati vs Xavier Prediction 12/5/25 College Basketball Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Cincinnati vs Xavier Prediction for this College Basketball game on Friday, December 5^th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Basketball matchup.

Xavier Musketeers Preview

Xavier has a 6-3 record this season and is sitting on the 6th place of the Big East conference. They have a 5-1 home record and a 0-1 away record and is coming off a 96-74 home win against Saint Francis (PA). Their previous three games were a win against Texas A&M-Corpus Christi, a win against West Virginia and a loss against Georgia.

Offensively, Xavier averages 78.7 points per game, while allowing 72.8 points per game defensively. The Musketeers shoot with 42.0% from the field (311th), and with 38.4% from beyond the arc (32nd). They shoot with 69.5% from the free throw line (244th), and grab 33.2 rebounds per game (195th), while dishing out 16.4 assists per game (38th) and committing 9.7 turnovers per game (38th).

Tre Carroll leads Xavier in scoring, with an average of 15.9 points per game, adding 5.4 rebounds per game. Malik Messina-Moore adds 7.1 points per game and a team-high 4.1 assists per game. Filip Borovicanin adds 8.1 points per game and a team-high 7.6 rebounds per game.

Cincinnati Bearcats Preview

Cincinnati has a 6-2 record this season and is sitting on the 10th place of the Big 12 conference. They have a 6-1 home record and a 0-0 away record and is coming off a 76-58 home win against Tarleton State. Their previous three games were a loss against Eastern Michigan, a win against NJIT and a loss against Louisville.

Offensively, Cincinnati averages 75.5 points per game, while allowing 63.4 points per game defensively. The Bearcats shoot with 43.1% from the field (279th), and with 31.8% from beyond the arc (251th). They shoot with 64.6% from the free throw line (330th), and grab 36.1 rebounds per game (78th), while dishing out 17.3 assists per game (22nd) and committing 15.0 turnovers per game (335th).

Baba Miller leads Cincinnati in scoring, with an average of 14.2 points per game, adding a team-high 10.2 rebounds per game. Kerr Kriisa adds 8.1 points per game and a team-high 4.8 assists per game.

Cincinnati Bearcats @ Xavier Musketeers Betting Trends: December 5, 2025

Why the Xavier Musketeers will win

• Cincinnati has lost each of its last 11 road games against the Big East Conference.
• Xavier has won 14 of its last 15 games against non-Conference opponents at Cintas Center.
• Cincinnati has lost the first half in each of its last seven road night games against the Big East Conference.

Why the Cincinnati Bearcats will win

• Cincinnati has won 14 of its last 15 Friday night games.
• Xavier has lost three of its last four night games against the Big 12 Conference.
• Cincinnati has won the first half in 19 of its last 23 games against non-Conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Xavier’s last five games have produced a total of 146+ points.
• Each of Cincinnati’s last six Friday games against non-Conference opponents have produced a total of 139 or fewer points.

Cincinnati vs Xavier Prediction

In this Cincinnati vs Xavier Prediction, Xavier is coming as -1.5 home favorites. Both teams have been very good this season, as both have six wins each, but Xavier has been almost perfect at home with a 5-1 record and is playing its seventh home game in ten games this season, while Cincinnati will be tested for the first time on the road and have been bad against the spread, with a 2-6 record. Xavier is playing its 6^th straight game at home and has covered the spread in four of its last five at home and I like them at home in this spot. Take Xavier on the moneyline at home today.