Colorado vs Houston Prediction 2/28/26 College Basketball Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Colorado vs Houston Prediction for this college basketball game on Saturday, February 28^th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this college basketball matchup.

Houston Cougars Preview

The Houston Cougars have a 23-5 overall record and an 11-4 record in the Big 12 conference. They are coming off a 69-56 road loss against Kansas and their previous three games were a 73-66 home loss against Arizona, a 70-67 road loss against Iowa State and a 78-64 home win against Kansas State.

Offensively, Houston averages 76.6 points per game, while allowing 62.3 points per game defensively. The Cougars shoot with 44% from the field and grab 36.9 rebounds per game, while dishing out 14.9 assists per game. They average 3.9 blocks per game and 7.8 steals per game defensively.

Kingston Flemings leads Houston in scoring, with an average of 16.6 points per game, while shooting with 48.2% from the field and 85.1% from the free throw line, adding a team-high 5.1 assists. Chris Cenac Jr. is the team’s leading rebounder with 7.8 per game.

Colorado Buffaloes Preview

The Colorado Buffaloes have a 16-12 overall record and a 6-9 record in the Big 12 conference. They are coming off a 79-70 home win against Kansas State and their previous three games were an 83-69 home win against Oklahoma State, a 90-86 road loss against BYU and a 78-44 road loss against Texas Tech.

Offensively, Colorado averages 80.1 points per game, while allowing 77.9 points per game defensively. The Buffaloes shoot with 47% from the field and grab 35.1 rebounds per game, while dishing out 15.7 assists per game. They average 3.4 blocks per game and 6.5 steals per game defensively.

Isaiah Johnson leads Colorado in scoring, with an average of 16.3 points per game, while shooting with 48.1% from the field and 80.6% from the free throw line. Bangot Dak is the team’s leading rebounder with 6.5 per game. Barrington Hargress leads the team in assists with 4.4 per game.

Colorado Buffaloes @ Houston Cougars Betting Trends: February 28, 2026

Why the Houston Cougars will win

• Houston has won each of its last 46 games at Fertitta Center against non-AP-ranked opponents.
• Colorado has lost each of its last 13 games against AP-ranked opponents.
• Houston has won the first half in each of its last 45 games at Fertitta Center against non-AP-ranked opponents.

Why the Colorado Buffaloes will win

• Houston has lost each of its last three games.
• Houston has lost the first half in each of its last three games.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Colorado’s last 13 day games have produced a total of 144+ points.
• Twenty-eight of Houston’s last 34 games at Fertitta Center have produced a total of 139 or fewer points.

Matchup/League Facts

• Houston ranks 1st among Division 1 teams for turnovers per game this season (8.3).
• Houston ranks 1st among Division 1 teams for opponent field goals made per game this season (20.7).
• Colorado ranks 44th among Division 1 teams for assist to turnover ratio this season (1.52).
• Colorado ranks 47th among Division 1 teams for turnover percentage this season (12.9%).

Colorado vs Houston Prediction

In this Colorado vs Houston Prediction, Houston is coming as -18.5 home favorites. Houston has been the far better team this season but both teams have identical ATS records. Houston has been struggling with three consecutive losses and has failed to cover the spread in its last 5 games, while Colorado has back-to-back wins and is 3-0 ATS in its last three. Those two teams have met only twice previously and while Houston won, Colorado covered in both. Given both teams’ recent form, I expect them to keep it closer than 18 points today, so take Colorado and get the +18.5.