Dayton vs Chattanooga Prediction 3/22/25 College Basketball Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Dayton vs Chattanooga prediction for this College Basketball game on Saturday, March 22 at the McKenzie Arena in Chattanooga, TN. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this game in the 2nd Round of the NIT. The winner of this game will meet George Mason or Bradley in the quarterfinals.

Chattanooga Mocs Betting Preview

The Chattanooga Mocs (25-9, 20-12 ATS) were in a fantastic form of 11 consecutive games to conclude the regular season and clinch the No. 1 seed in the SoCon Standings. The Mocs had no problems against Mercer in the quarterfinals but they were upset by Furman in the semis as the Paladins took them down in overtime.

Chattanooga averages 79.7 PPG (48th) and allows 72.9 PPG (209th). The Mocs are 330th in rebounds (33.4) and 20th in assists (17.0). Honor Huff leads the team with 14.9 PPG, 2.0 RPG, 2.2 APG, and 1.0 SPG. Bash Wieland follows him with 14.5 PPG and 4.3 RPG, while Trey Bonham chips in 13.8 PPG, 4.4 RPG, 2.8 APG, and a team-high 1.4 SPG.

Dayton Flyers Betting Preview

The Dayton Flyers (23-10, 16-16 ATS) played well late in the season as they recorded four consecutive wins to clinch the No. 3 seed in the Atlantic 10 tournament. The Flyers beat Rhode Island, Richmond, Saint Louis, and VCU in that stretch but lost to Saint Joseph’s in overtime in the quarterfinals.

Dayton is averaging 75.5 PPG (137th) and is allowing 70.3 PPG (128th). The Flyers are getting 34.3 RPG (270th) and dish out 15.2 APG (84th). Nate Santos is the team’s top performer with 14.2 PPG and 5.6 RPG. Enoch Cheeks has 13.2 PPG, a team-high 6.2 RPG, 2.0 APG, and a team-high 1.8 SPG, while Javon Bennett contributes 11.5 PPG, 2.7 RPG, 2.1 APG, and 1.5 SPG.

Why Chattanooga will beat Dayton

• Chattanooga has won 13 of its last 14 games.
• Dayton has lost the first half in three of its last four games against non-conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Chattanooga’s last five day games at McKenzie Arena has produced a total of 151+ points.
• Five of Dayton’s last six games against non-conference opponents have produced a total of 148 or fewer points.

Matchup/League Facts

• Chattanooga ranks 20th among Division 1 teams for assists per game this season (16.8).
• Chattanooga ranks 21st among Division 1 teams for effective field goal percentage this season (56.4%).

Dayton vs Chattanooga Prediction

These teams have met just once before and it was in 2015 when Chattanooga won 61-59. Dayton is a slight favorite in this one but the Mocs are 20-12 ATS this season and 9-1 SU in the previous ten games, so I have to back Chattanooga in this clash. Chattanooga has covered the Spread in 17 of its last 24 games and I am backing its offense to keep the Flyers on their toes. It’s going to be a close one. but I am leaning toward the Mocs. Back them to cover.