Dayton vs St. Joseph’s Prediction 3/14/25 College Basketball Picks Today
St. Joseph's (21-11) vs. Dayton (22-9)
March 14, 2025 7:30 pm EDT
The Line: Dayton -1.5; Over/Under: 143.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Saint Joseph’s Hawks and Dayton Flyers meet Friday in the college basketball Atlantic 10 Quarterfinal at the Capital One Arena. Here’s a Dayton vs St. Joseph’s Prediction. This article will include a Dayton vs St. Joseph’s Pick.
Saint Joseph’s Hawks Betting Preview
The Saint Joseph’s Hawks recently played Fordham, Rhode Island, and La Salle. Saint Joseph’s has won eight of its last 10 games.
The Saint Joseph’s Hawks are averaging 75.8 points on 45.2 percent shooting and allowing 68.5 points on 41.4 percent shooting. Xzayvier Brown is averaging 17 points and 5.1 rebounds, while Erik Reynolds II is averaging 16.8 points and 2.7 rebounds. Rasheer Fleming is the third double-digit scorer and Derek Simpson is grabbing 3.8 rebounds. The Saint Joseph’s Hawks are shooting 34.7 percent from beyond the arc and 74.5 percent from the free throw line. The Saint Joseph’s Hawks are allowing 32.2 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 33.1 rebounds per game.
Dayton Flyers Betting Preview
The Dayton Flyers recently beat Rhode Island, Richmond, Saint Louis, and VCU. Dayton looks to win five straight games for the first time since November 27 – December 17.
The Dayton Flyers are averaging 75.5 points on 46 percent shooting and allowing 70 points on 43.5 percent shooting. Nate Santos is averaging 14.1 points and 5.3 rebounds, while Enoch Cheeks is averaging 13.4 points and 1.8 assists. Javon Bennett is the third double-digit scorer and Malachi Smith is grabbing 2.9 rebounds. The Dayton Flyers are shooting 35.7 percent from beyond the arc and 74.7 percent from the free-throw line. The Dayton Flyers are allowing 32.3 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 31.1 rebounds per game.
Why the Dayton Flyers will win
- Dayton has won seven of its last eight games against Saint Joseph’s.
- Saint Joseph’s has lost each of its last three games when playing with a rest disadvantage against Dayton.
- Dayton has won the first half in four of its last five games against the Atlantic 10 Conference at neutral venues.
Why the Saint Joseph’s Hawks will win
- Saint Joseph’s has won six of its last seven games.
- Dayton has lost four of its last five games played at neutral venues.
- Saint Joseph’s has won the first half in five of its last six games against non-AP-ranked opponents at a neutral venue.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Saint Joseph’s’ last four games against Conference opponents have produced a total of 145+ points.
- Four of Dayton’s last five games at a neutral venue have produced a total of 146+ points.
Matchup/League Facts
- Dayton ranks 40th among Division 1 teams for assist to turnover ratio this season (1.45).
- Dayton ranks 41st among Division 1 teams for free throws made per game this season (16.2).
- Saint Joseph’s ranks 6th among Division 1 teams for blocks per game this season (5.6).
- Saint Joseph’s ranks 39th among Division 1 teams for opponent three-point field goals made per game this season (6.5).
Dayton vs Saint Joseph’s Injury Report
Dayton will continue to be without Marvel Allen due to a knee injury. Saint Joseph’s will be without Khaafiq Myers and Steven Solano.
Dayton vs St. Joseph’s Prediction
Saint Joseph’s hung with Dayton on the road in the only meeting this season and is playing some of its best ball of the season right now. However, despite its ups and downs this season, Dayton is arguably the most talented team in the A10 and should cruise if it plays to its potential. Dayton has had a week off, which may be too much rest, but the Flyers have won six of their last seven games and look like they’ve gotten their act together. I’d need more points to truly consider Saint Joseph’s. Dayton is the better team, and we’re only being asked to lay a bucket. Give me Dayton to make the A10 semifinal.
