College Basketball Picks

Dayton vs UMass 2/23/22 College Basketball Picks, Predictions, Odds

UMass Minutemen (12-13) vs. Dayton Flyers (19-8)
February 23, 2022 7:00 pm EDT
The Line: Dayton Flyers -12 / UMass Minutemen +12; Over/Under: +144
(Get latest betting odds)

The UMass Minutemen and the Dayton Flyers meet in college basketball action from the UD Arena on Wednesday night.

The UMass Minutemen will look for some consistency after alternating wins and losses after an 80-74 win over La Salle last time out. Noah Fernandes leads the Minutemen in scoring and assists with 14.5 PPG and 5.7 APG in addition to 2.8 RPG while Rich Kelly has 13 PPG with 3.3 APG. Trent Buttrick has 11.3 PPG and 6 RPG and C.J. Kelly has 11 PPG with 4.7 RPG to round out the group of double-digit scorers for UMASS so far this season. T.J. Weeks Jr. also has 9.7 PPG with 4.8 RPG as well on the year. As a team, UMASS is averaging 75.6 PPG on 43.1% shooting from the field, 39.1% from three and 75.2% from the foul line while allowing 77.5 PPG on 48.5% shooting from the field and 36.4% from three this season.

The Dayton Flyers will look to build on a four-game win streak after a 74-62 win over Saint Joseph’s last time out. DaRon Holmes II leads the Flyers in scoring with 11.6 PPG along with 5.8 RPG while Toumani Camara has 10.9 PPG with a team-high 6.3 RPG to lead Dayton on the glass. Malachi Smith has 9.3 PPG with 5.1 APG to lead Georgia in the assist department this season. As a team, Dayton is averaging 69 PPG on 47.6% shooting from the field, 36.5% from three and 68.1% from the foul line while allowing 60.2 PPG on 41% shooting from the field and 33.1% from three this season.

UMass is 0-2-2 ATS in their last 4 games overall and 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games following a win while the under is 4-1 in their last 5 games against a team with a winning record. Dayton is 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games against a team with a losing record and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall while the over is 4-1 in their last 5 games following a win.

I get the case to be made for UMass as this is a fair number of points for a conference game and the Minutemen have had some decent performances as of late. However, Dayton’s just on another level right now as the offense is rolling and the defense is humming as well. I just think that right now, the Flyers aren’t a team I really want to step in front of so give me Dayton and lay the points.

Chris Ruffolo's Free Pick: Dayton -12

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Chris Ruffolo

Chris joined the Sports Chat Place team in August 2016 and has a proven system that combines multiple analytical and situational statistics and trends to give out thousands of winning picks over the last three years with winning records across all of the top leagues, Follow Chris Ruffolo on Twitter @ruffthepickdawg

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