Duke vs Mount St. Mary’s Prediction 3/21/25 College Basketball Picks Today
Mt. St. Mary's (23-12) vs. Duke (31-3)
March 21, 2025 2:50 pm EDT
The Line: Duke -31.5; Over/Under: 140.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Mount St. Mary’s Mountaineers and Duke Blue Devils meet Friday in the college basketball First Round at the Lenovo Center. Here’s a Duke vs Mount St. Mary’s Prediction. This article will include a Duke vs Mount St. Mary’s Pick.
Mount St. Mary’s Mountaineers Betting Preview
The Mount St. Mary’s Mountaineers recently beat Marist, Merrimack, Iona, and American. Mount St. Mary’s has won 10 of its last 12 games.
The Mount St. Mary’s Mountaineers are averaging 70.4 points on 44.2 percent shooting and allowing 69.8 points on 40.6 percent shooting. Dola Adebayo is averaging 13.4 points and 6.9 rebounds, while Dallas Hobbs is averaging 12.7 points and 3.6 rebounds. Terrell Ard Jr. is the third double-digit scorer and Jedy Cordilia is grabbing 7.3 rebounds. The Mount St. Mary’s Mountaineers are shooting 34.8 percent from beyond the arc and 73.4 percent from the free throw line. The Mount St. Mary’s Mountaineers are allowing 31.2 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 34.5 rebounds per game.
Duke Blue Devils Betting Preview
The Duke Blue Devils recently beat Florida State, Wake Forest, North Carolina, Georgia Tech, and Louisville. Duke has won 11 straight games and has lost once since November 29.
The Duke Blue Devils are averaging 82.7 points on 48.8 percent shooting and allowing 61.9 points on 38.6 percent shooting. Cooper Flagg is averaging 18.9 points and 7.5 rebounds, while Kon Knueppel is averaging 14.4 points and 4 rebounds. Tyrese Proctor is the third double-digit scorer and Sion James is grabbing 4.2 rebounds. The Duke Blue Devils are shooting 37.7 percent from beyond the arc and 78.4 percent from the free throw line. The Duke Blue Devils are allowing 30.9 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 35.9 rebounds per game.
Why the Duke Blue Devils will win
- Duke has won each of its last 11 games.
- Duke has won the first half in 17 of its last 18 games against non-Conference opponents.
Why the Mount St. Mary’s Mountaineers will win
- Mount St. Mary’s has won each of its last five games.
- Duke has lost each of its last three NCAA Tournament day games.
- Mount St. Mary’s has won the first half in eight of its last nine day games against non-Conference opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Duke’s last nine games against non-AP-ranked opponents have produced a total of 142+ points.
- Eight of Mount St. Mary’s’ last nine games at a neutral venue have produced a total of 140 or fewer points.
Matchup/League Facts
- Duke ranks 1st among Division 1 teams for point differential per game this season (+22.1).
- Duke ranks 1st among Division 1 teams for offensive rating this season (126.4).
- Mount St. Mary’s ranks T360th among Division 1 teams for opponent steals per game this season (9.1).
- Mount St. Mary’s ranks 359th among Division 1 teams for turnover percentage this season (19.1%).
Duke vs Mount St. Mary’s Injury Report
Maliq Brown and Cooper Flagg are questionable for Duke. Carmelo Pacheco is questionable for Mount St. Mary’s with a finger injury.
Duke vs Mount St. Mary’s Prediction
You can make a case for Mount St. Mary’s and the points given Duke may be undermanned. Mount St. Mary’s also beat Miami on the road back in December and hung around with George Mason. With that said, Mount St. Mary’s also got clapped by Georgetown and Maryland. There’s not a lot of success for Mount St. Mary’s against quality teams.
Despite injuries, Duke is still loaded and the betting favorite to cut down the nets. Without Flagg, we saw Duke beat up on Louisville and find enough offense to beat North Carolina. Mount St. Mary’s can defend for stretches, but I’m worried about there not being enough options offensively. Duke should be able to push the pace and pull away in a blowout. It’s Duke or pass for me in the first round on Friday.
