TCU (23-11) vs. Duke (33-2)
March 21, 2026 5:15 pm EDT
The Line: Duke -11.5; Over/Under: 140.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Duke Blue Devils and the TCU Horned Frogs meet Saturday in college basketball action from the Bon Secours Wellness Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Duke Blue Devils vs. TCU Horned Frogs prediction.
Duke Blue Devils Recap
The Duke Blue Devils come into this game looking to add on to their 71-65 win over Siena last time out.
Blue Devils Looking To Shake Off Scare
Cameron Boozer leads Duke across the board with 22.6 PPG, 10 RPG and 4 APG while Isaiah Evans has 14.6 PPG with 2.9 RPG and Patrick Ngongba II has 10.7 PPG with 6 RPG to cap off the trio of double-digit scorers for Duke up to this point in the year. Caleb Foster has 8.6 PPG with 3.7 RPG and 2.9 APG and Cayden Boozer has 6.4 PPG with 2.8 APG as well this season. As a team, Duke is averaging 83.2 PPG on 49.9% shooting from the field, 35.5% from three and 72.7% from the foul line this season.
Why the Duke Blue Devils will win
- Duke has won each of its last 33 games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
- TCU has lost each of its last five games against teams with an AP Ranking of 1.
TCU Horned Frogs Recap
The TCU Horned Frogs come into this game looking to add on to their 68-66 win over Ohio State last time out.
Horned Frogs Looking To Spring Upset
David Punch leads the Horned Frogs in scoring and rebounding with 13.9 PPG and 6.6 RPG while Jayden Pierre has 10 PPG with 2.1 RPG and 2.6 APG and Xavier Edmonds has 12.7 PPG with 6.6 RPG. Micah Robinson has 10.6 PPG with 4.8 RPG as well this season to cap off the group of double-digit scorers for TCU up to this point in the year. Brock Harding has 8.3 PPG with 2.9 RPG and a team-high 5.9 APG to lead the Horned Frogs in assists. As a team, TCU is averaging 78.3 PPG on 44.7% shooting from the field, 33.1% from three and 70.7% from the foul line this season.
Why the TCU Horned Frogs will win
- TCU has won each of its last 15 Saturday night games against non-Conference opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Each of TCU’s last four NCAA Tournament night games have produced a total of 142+ points.
- Five of Duke’s last six games against the Big 12 Conference have produced a total of 144+ points.
Duke Blue Devils vs. TCU Horned Frogs Prediction
I’m on Duke here. I know TCU is capable of springing the upset as this TCU team has played some tough competition to this point, including a bunch of step up spots in the regular season. However, Duke got a fire lit under their butts in that opening game, and I think it served as a wake-up call for the Blue Devils. I’m backing Duke to win this one by 15+ after the scare from Siena.
