Evansville vs Murray State 1/1/23 College Basketball Picks, Predictions, Odds

The Murray State Racers and the Evansville Aces meet in college basketball action from the Ford Center on Sunday afternoon.

The Murray State Racers will look to bounce back from a 63-57 loss to Southern Illinois last time out. Rob Perry leads the Racers in scoring with 16 PPG along with 4.4 RPG and 2.2 APG while Jamari Smith has 13.1 PPG with 5.6 RPG and JaCobi Wood has 11.7 PPG with 4.2 RPG and a team-high 4.7 APG to lead Murray State in assists and to cap off the trio of double-digit scorers for Murray State up to this point in the season. DJ Burns also has a team-high 8.1 RPG to lead the Racers on the glass up to this point in the year. As a team, Murray State is averaging 70.8 PPG on 44.7% shooting from the field, 31.3% from three and 70.6% from the foul line this season.

The Evansville Aces will try to bounce back from a 91-63 loss to Indiana State last time out. Kenny Strawbridge leads the Aces in scoring with 16.6 PPG along with 4 RPG while Yacine Toumi has 10.7 PPG and 5.6 RPG as the only other double-digit scorer for the Aces up to this point in the year. Marvin Coleman II also has a team-high 5.9 RPG and 3 APG this season. As a team, Evansville is averaging 62.1 PPG on 38.6% shooting from the field, 29.3% from three and 64.2% from the foul line this season.

Murray State is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games overall and 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games against a team with a losing record while the under is 5-1 in their last 6 games against a team with a winning percentage below .400. Evansville is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games against a team with a winning record and 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games overall while the over is 4-0 in their last 4 games overall.

I get the case to be made either way, but I don’t trust Murray State to cover a number on the road even against Evansville, but the Aces are one of the worst offensive teams in the country and aren’t a team I’m really looking to back in any way, shape of form. That’s why I’m on the under here. Thius just feels like a first to 60 wins kind of game if we can get that high. Give me the under here.