College Basketball Picks

Florida State vs Louisville Prediction 12-21-24 College Basketball Picks

Louisville (6-5) vs. Florida State (9-3)
December 21, 2024 2:00 pm EDT
The Line: Florida State +1.5; Over/Under: +152
(Get latest betting odds)

The Louisville Cardinals and Florida State Seminoles meet Saturday in college basketball action at the Tucker Center. Here’s a Florida State vs Louisville Prediction. This article will include a Florida State vs Louisville Pick.

Louisville Cardinals Betting Preview

The Louisville Cardinals lost to Kentucky, beat UTEP, and they play Eastern Kentucky, North Carolina and Virginia next. The Louisville Cardinals are averaging 77 points on 42.7 percent shooting and allowing 71 points on 44.4 percent shooting. Chucky Hepburn is averaging 15.2 points and 3.5 rebounds, while Terrence Edwards Jr. is averaging 13.8 points and 3 rebounds. Kasean Pryor is the third double-digit scorer and Reyne Smith is grabbing 3.1 rebounds. The Louisville Cardinals are shooting 28 percent from beyond the arc and 70.7 percent from the free throw line. The Louisville Cardinals are allowing 35.5 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 36.3 rebounds per game.


Florida State Seminoles Betting Preview

The Florida State Seminoles beat Tulane and Winthrop, and they play Syracuse, Miami, and Clemson next. The Florida State Seminoles are averaging 78.5 points on 46.1 percent shooting and allowing 67.5 points on 39 percent shooting. Jamir Watkins is averaging 19.1 points and 4.8 rebounds, while Malique Ewin is averaging 12.9 points and 7.7 rebounds. Chandler Jackson is grabbing 2.5 rebounds and Daquan Davis is grabbing 2.5 rebounds. The Florida State Seminoles are shooting 31.9 percent from beyond the arc and 70.8 percent from the free throw line. The Florida State Seminoles are allowing 26.5 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 31.8 rebounds per game.

Why the Florida State Seminoles will win

  • Louisville has lost each of its last 16 day games against the Atlantic Coast Conference.
  • Florida State has won each of its last eight games at Donald L. Tucker Civic Center against non-AP-ranked opponents.
  • Louisville has lost the first half in each of its last 12 Saturday day games against the Atlantic Coast Conference.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of Florida State’s last seven games against Conference opponents have produced a total of 158+ points.
  • Seven of Louisville’s last eight games have produced a total of 151 or fewer points.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Florida State ranks 6th among Division 1 teams for opponent assist to turnover ratio this season (0.62).
  • Florida State ranks 7th among Division 1 teams for opponent three-point percentage this season (26.5%).
  • Louisville ranks 5th among Division 1 teams for three-point field goal attempts per game this season (32.5).

Florida State vs Louisville Prediction

With losses in four of their last five games, which includes a couple of losses as a favorite, it’s weird seeing the Louisville Cardinals as a favorite on the road. The Florida State Seminoles continue to win games, and they’re 8-4 ATS on the season. The Louisville Cardinals are 5-6 ATS on the season. It feels like we’re getting a free bucket with the better team that’s in the better form. I’ll gladly side with the Noles.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Florida State +1.5

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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