Florida State vs North Carolina Pick – Basketball Predictions & Odds 2/27/23

The North Carolina Tar Heels and the Florida State Seminoles meet in college basketball action from the Donald L. Tucker Center on Monday night. Let’s dive into the odds, injuries, matchup history and make a prediction for this game.

Odds

North Carolina is listed as a 6.5-point road favorite with the total for this game set at 151.5 points.

Injuries

Neither side has anyone new listed on the injury report for this game, so barring any last-minute announcements, both sides will come into this game at full strength.

Matchup History

North Carolina’s 94-74 win over Florida State back on February 12^th, 2022, made it eight straight wins for the home team in this matchup.

Trends

North Carolina is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS win while the under is 6-1 in their last 7 games following a win. Florida State is 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games overall and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a win while the over is 4-0 in their last 4 games overall.

Pick

I’m backing the under in this one. I think the total is just too high, plain and simple. I don’t expect this to be a defensive clinic, but in their last 5 games, UNC is scoring 73.2 and allowing 70 PPG while Florida State is scoring 70 and allowing 82.4 PPG. In conference, both teams are posting averages combined in the mid-140s, and I think that’s where this game ends up landing.