Florida State vs North Carolina Prediction 2/24/25 College Basketball Picks Today

The North Carolina Tar Heels and the Florida State Seminoles meet Monday in college basketball action from the Donald L. Tucker Civic Center. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Florida State vs North Carolina Prediction.

Matchup History

These two teams have yet to square off this season, but North Carolina won the most recent meeting last year by a final score of 92-67, making it five straight wins for the Tar Heels in this head-to-head fixture.

North Carolina Recap

The North Carolina Tar Heels come into this game looking to add to their 81-66 win over Virginia last time out to improve to 17-11 on the year. After this game, North Carolina will head home for a game against Miami.

Tar Heels Win Three In A Row

RJ Davis leads the Tar Heels in scoring with 17.3 PPG, along with 3.7 RPG and 3.8 APG. Seth Trimble has 11.8 PPG with 5.5 RPG to lead the Tar Heels in rebounding, and Elliot Cadeau has 10 PPG with 3 RPG and 6 APG on the year to lead the Tar Heels in assists. Ian Jackson has 13.7 PPG with 3.2 RPG to round out the group of double-digit scorers for North Carolina so far this season. Ven-Allen Lubin has 7.1 PPG with 4.8 RPG, while Drake Powell has 7 PPG with 3.3 RPG and Jalen Washington has 6.2 PPG with 4.6 RPG as well on the year. As a team, North Carolina is averaging 80.9 PPG on 47.4% shooting from the field, 33.8% from three, and 73.9% from the foul line this season.

Why the North Carolina Tar Heels will win

• North Carolina has won each of its last five games against Florida State.

Florida State Recap

The Florida State Seminoles come into this game looking to bounce back from an 89-81 loss to Louisville last time out to sit at 16-11 on the year. After this game, Florida State will head on the road to Cameron Indoor to take on the Duke Blue Devils.

Seminoles Alternate Wins & Losses In 4 Straight

Jamir Watkins leads the Seminoles in scoring with 18.1 PPG along with 5.4 RPG and 2.1 APG. Malique Ewin has 14.4 PPG with a team-high 8 RPG to lead Florida State in rebounding as the only other double-digit scorer for Florida State up to this point in the year. Daquan Davis has 8.9 PPG with 2.3 RPG and a team-high 2.7 APG to lead Florida State in the assist department this season, while Taylor Bol Bowen has 8.4 PPG with 5.4 RPG as well on the year. As a team, Florida State is averaging 75.5 PPG on 45.7% shooting from the field, 31.1% from three, and 71.4% from the foul line so far this season.

Why the Florida State Seminoles will win

• Florida State has won 11 of its last 12 night games at Donald L. Tucker Civic Center against non-AP-ranked opponents.
• North Carolina has lost five of its last six road night games against the Atlantic Coast Conference.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Florida State’s last 10 Monday games against Conference opponents have produced a total of 156 or fewer points.
• Each of North Carolina’s last nine Monday road games against the Atlantic Coast Conference have produced a total of 153 or fewer points.

Florida State vs North Carolina Prediction

I’m on North Carolina in this game. I just haven’t been able to trust Florida State for the better part of conference play, and while the Seminoles have done a decent job covering spreads as of late, especially at home against Louisville. I just trust the guards of North Carolina to handle whatever defensive pressure the Seminoles throw out in this game. Furthermore, I’d need a few more points to consider Florida State here, even at home, so give me the Tar Heels laying the bucket in this game.