Florida State vs SMU Prediction 3/8/25 College Basketball Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Florida State vs SMU Prediction for this college basketball game on Saturday, March 8th, at the Donald L Tucker Center. Let’s take a look at a Florida State Seminoles and SMU Mustangs pick. 

SMU Can’t Slip Up

SMU has a solid record but this really isn’t a game they can slip up in. Two games ago against Stanford, they lost 73-68, and in the last game against Syracuse, they only won by two points. Syracuse has had struggles all season, and the fact that SMU could only win by two points had to be quite disappointing. At halftime, they were down 44-36, and even though they fought back in the second half, they still didn’t win in blowout fashion. 

SMU shot 53.6 percent from the field, but they allowed Syracuse to score 48.1 percent. Southern Methodist has a record of 22-8; against the spread, they are 14-15-1. Away from home, SMU has a 7-3 record. Offensively, they have been scoring an average of 81.5 points per game, ranking 27th in college basketball. They have averaged 72 points given up per game, ranking them 183rd defensively. 

Why SMU Will Beat Florida State

• Florida State has lost eight of its last nine day games against Conference opponents.
• SMU has won six of its last seven road games.
• The road team has won the first half in four of SMU’s last five games.

Can Florida State Go on a Run?

It has been an inconsistent season for Florida State all season, and they are coming off with another loss in the last game. The Virginia Cavaliers haven’t been much better, but Florida State scored only 57 points, leading to the three-point defeat. Florida State shot only 37.1 percent from the field and 31.8 percent from behind the three-point line. Jamir Watkins was the top player and the only real bright spot as he put up 18 points, eight rebounds, and five assists. If they are shooting like that in this game, they will be blown out. 

Florida State has a record of 16-14, and they are 16-14 against the spread. At home, they have a record of 10-5. FSU has scored an average of 74.8 points per game, ranking them 148th in offense. Defensively, they have allowed 72.8 points per game on average, ranking them 206th. Watkins is the top player this season, averaging 18.5 points while shooting 42.7 percent from the field. 

Florida State vs SMU Prediction

SMU is going to put on a show here. This Virginia team isn’t the same as in years past, and Florida State managed only 57 points. I am not that concerned that this is the last home game for Flroida State, they are going to really struggle here. SMU’s offense has been strong all season, and it averages 81.5 points per game. Florida State is giving up 72.8 points per game and will give up more than that here. SMU will jump out to a fast start, and they will cruise. Back SMU against the spread. Don’t be shocked when SMU ends up winning this game by at least 10 points.