Florida State vs Virginia Prediction 2/10/26 College Basketball Picks Today
Virginia (20-3) vs. Florida State (11-12)
February 10, 2026 7:00 pm EDT
The Line: Florida State +7.5; Over/Under: 151.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Florida State Seminoles and Virginia Cavaliers meet Tuesday in college basketball action at the Tucker Center. Here’s a Florida State vs Virginia Prediction. This article will include a Florida State vs Virginia Pick.
Virginia Cavaliers Betting Preview
The Virginia Cavaliers beat Pitt and Syracuse, and they play Ohio State next. Virginia has won 9 of its last 10 games.
The Virginia Cavaliers are averaging 83.3 points on 46.7 percent shooting and allowing 68.3 points on 39.8 percent shooting. Thijs De Ridder is averaging 16.4 points and 6.5 rebounds, while Malik Thomas is averaging 12.6 points and 1.7 assists. Sam Lewis is the third double-digit scorer and Chance Mallory is grabbing 3.9 rebounds. The Virginia Cavaliers are shooting 35.7 percent from beyond the arc and 70.4 percent from the free throw line. The Virginia Cavaliers are allowing 30.2 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 39.4 rebounds per game.
Florida State Seminoles Betting Preview
The Florida State Seminoles beat Stanford and Notre Dame, and they play Virginia Tech next. Florida State has won 4 of its last 5 games.
The Florida State Seminoles are averaging 84.5 points on 42.3 percent shooting and allowing 83.2 points on 45.1 percent shooting. Robert McCray V is averaging 14.4 points and 3.7 rebounds, while Chauncey Wiggins is averaging 12.9 points and 4 rebounds. Lajae Jones is the third double-digit scorer and Kobe MaGee is grabbing 3.2 rebounds. The Florida State Seminoles are shooting 31.6 percent from beyond the arc and 71.5 percent from the free throw line. The Florida State Seminoles are allowing 33.8 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 34.9 rebounds per game.
Why the Florida State Seminoles will win
- Florida State has won 33 of its last 35 Tuesday games at Donald L. Tucker Civic Center.
- Virginia has lost five of its last six February road games as a top-15 AP-ranked team.
- Florida State has won the first half in 10 of its last 11 night games at Donald L. Tucker Civic Center.
Why the Virginia Cavaliers will win
- Florida State has lost each of its last 12 games against AP-ranked opponents.
- Virginia has won each of its last 11 night games.
- Virginia has won the first half in 10 of its last 11 night games.
Total Points Facts
- Eighty-two of Virginia’s last 87 night games against Conference opponents have produced a total of 149 or fewer points.
- Four of Florida State’s last five night games at Donald L. Tucker Civic Center have produced a total of 150 or fewer points.
Matchup/League Facts
- Florida State ranks 5th among Division 1 teams for three-point field goal attempts per game this season (33.0).
- Florida State is one of only six teams to reach the Sweet 16 in each of its last three NCAA Tournament appearances.
- Virginia ranks T6th among Division 1 teams for blocks per game this season (5.8).
- Virginia ranks 11th among Division 1 teams for rebounds per game this season (41.5).
Florida State vs Virginia Prediction
Florida State has put together a nice winning stretch, but it was favored in two of those four wins, so let’s pump the brakes just a bit. Florida State still has major issues finding consistent offense, and the defense is below average. Virginia has six road wins this season and is solid at both ends of the floor. I question how FSU is going to score in this spot given the struggles overall this season. Thick line for a road team, but I’m going to lay the points with Virginia.