Florida vs Alabama Prediction 3/15/25 College Basketball Picks Today
Alabama (24-7) vs. Florida (28-4)
March 15, 2025 3:30 pm EDT
The Line: Florida -3.5; Over/Under: 174.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Alabama Crimson Tide and Florida Gators meet Saturday in the college basketball SEC Semifinal at the Enterprise Center. Here’s a Florida vs Alabama Prediction. This article will include a Florida vs Alabama Pick.
Alabama Crimson Tide Betting Preview
The Alabama Crimson Tide recently played Tennessee, Florida, Auburn, and Kentucky. Alabama has seen four of its seven losses come in its last nine games.
The Alabama Crimson Tide are averaging 91.2 points on 48.4 percent shooting and allowing 81.1 points on 42.3 percent shooting. Mark Sears is averaging 19.2 points and 3.1 rebounds, while Grant Nelson is averaging 12.1 points and 1.6 assists. Latrell Wrightsell Jr. is the third double-digit scorer and Aden Holloway is grabbing 2 rebounds. The Alabama Crimson Tide are shooting 35 percent from beyond the arc and 71.7 percent from the free throw line. The Alabama Crimson Tide are allowing 30.4 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 39.5 rebounds per game.
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Florida Gators Betting Preview
The Florida Gators recently beat Texas A&M, Alabama, Ole Miss, and Missouri. Florida has won four straight games and has lost once since February 4.
The Florida Gators are averaging 84.5 points on 46.9 percent shooting and allowing 68.2 points on 39.5 percent shooting. Walter Clayton Jr. is averaging 17.2 points and 3.8 rebounds, while Alijah Martin is averaging 14.5 points and 4.7 rebounds. Will Richard is the third double-digit scorer and Alex Condon is grabbing 8 rebounds. The Florida Gators are shooting 35.2 percent from beyond the arc and 71.1 percent from the free throw line. The Florida Gators are allowing 29.6 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 39.6 rebounds per game.
Why the Florida Gators will win
- Florida has won each of its last six games played at neutral venues.
- Florida has won the first half in each of its last five games played at neutral venues.
Why the Alabama Crimson Tide will win
- Florida has lost the first half in six of its last eight games against the Southeastern Conference at neutral venues.
Matchup/League Facts
- Florida ranks T2nd among Division 1 teams for rebounds per game this season (42.4).
- Florida ranks 4th among Division 1 teams for point differential per game this season (+16.3).
- Alabama ranks 1st among Division 1 teams for points per game this season (91.2).
- Alabama ranks 1st among Division 1 teams for rebounds per game this season (43.3).
Florida vs Alabama Injury Report
Florida will be without Sam Alexis. Alabama will be without Houston Mallette and Latrell Wrightsell Jr.
Florida vs Alabama Prediction
You don’t get Alabama in the underdog role often, so I can see you talking yourself into the points. The problem is Florida has been arguably the most consistent team in the country, both SU and ATS. Florida just gets the job done with a balanced attack, and is 24-8 ATS on the season. Florida also beat Alabama on the road a couple of weeks ago.
When Alabama is hitting shots and pushing the pace, the Tide can beat any team in the country, but it won’t be as easy against a Florida defense that’s top-25 in field goal percentage defense and three-point percentage defense. I’d need more points to step in front of Florida. I like the Gators to make the SEC Final.
