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Florida vs Kentucky Prediction 2/14/26 College Basketball Picks Today

Kentucky (17-7) vs. Florida (18-6)
February 14, 2026 3:00 pm EDT
The Line: Florida -12.5; Over/Under: 152.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Kentucky Wildcats and Florida Gators meet Saturday in college basketball action at the Stephen C. O’Connell Center. Here’s a Florida vs Kentucky Prediction. This article will include a Florida vs Kentucky Pick.

Kentucky Wildcats Betting Preview

The Kentucky Wildcats beat Tennessee and Oklahoma, and they play Georgia next. Kentucky has won 8 of its last 9 games.

The Kentucky Wildcats are averaging 81.6 points on 47.2 percent shooting and allowing 71.3 points on 41.6 percent shooting. Otega Oweh is averaging 17.1 points and 4.4 rebounds, while Denzel Aberdeen is averaging 12.3 points and 2.5 rebounds. Mouhamed Dioubate is grabbing 5.4 rebounds and Collin Chandler is dishing 2.2 assists. The Kentucky Wildcats are shooting 34.5 percent from beyond the arc and 72.4 percent from the free throw line. The Kentucky Wildcats are allowing 30.9 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 34.5 rebounds per game.

Florida Gators Betting Preview

The Florida Gators beat Texas A&M and Georgia, and they play South Carolina next. Florida has won 9 of its last 10 games.

The Florida Gators are averaging 86.3 points on 47 percent shooting and allowing 71 points on 40.4 percent shooting. Thomas Haugh is averaging 17.5 points and 6.3 rebounds, while Alex Condon is averaging 13.3 points and 7.9 rebounds. Rueben Chinyelu is the third double-digit scorer and Boogie Fland is grabbing 2.5 rebounds. The Florida Gators are shooting 29.2 percent from beyond the arc and 70.5 percent from the free throw line. The Florida Gators are allowing 32.4 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43 rebounds per game.

Why the Florida Gators will win

  • Florida has won each of its last 13 February home games as a top-15 AP-ranked team.
  • Kentucky has lost each of its last six games as an AP-ranked team against an AP-ranked team.
  • Florida has won the first half in each of its last 10 games as an AP-ranked team against an AP-ranked team at Exactech Arena at Stephen C. O’Connell Center.

Why the Kentucky Wildcats will win

  • Kentucky has won each of its last six road games against Florida.
  • Florida has lost the first half in each of its last four games as a top-15 AP-ranked team against an AP-ranked team.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of Florida’s last nine day games against AP-ranked opponents have produced a total of 158+ points.
  • Nine of Kentucky’s last 10 day games against AP-ranked opponents have produced a total of 158+ points.

Florida vs Kentucky Prediction

Florida is the better team and looking more and more like a legit national title contender. Kentucky has also had issues in big games this season. However, Florida is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games as a double-digit favorite. Two of those failed covers were outright losses to TCU and Auburn.

We also rarely get Kentucky as a double-digit underdog. This will be just the sixth time since 2013 that Kentucky is a double-digit dog. Kentucky is also playing its best ball of the season, where it’s won 8 of its last 9 games and has road upsets over Arkansas and Tennessee. I’ll grab the buckets with Kentucky.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Kentucky +12.5

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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