Florida vs Tennessee Prediction 1/10/26 College Basketball Picks Today
Tennessee (11-4) vs. Florida (10-5)
January 10, 2026 12:00 pm EDT
The Line: Florida -5 ; Over/Under:
(Get latest betting odds)
The Tennessee Volunteers and Florida Gators meet Saturday in the college basketball action at the Stephen C. O’Connell Center. Here’s a Florida vs Tennessee Prediction. This article will include a Florida vs Tennessee Pick.
Tennessee Volunteers Betting Preview
The Tennessee Volunteers lost to Arkansas, beat Texas, and they play Texas A&M next. Tennessee has won 4 of its last 5 games.
The Tennessee Volunteers are averaging 83.4 points on 49.3 percent shooting and allowing 65.7 points on 38.2 percent shooting. Ja’Kobi Gillespie is averaging 18.7 points and 2.8 rebounds, while Nate Ament is averaging 14.7 points and 2.6 assists. JP Estrella is the third double-digit scorer and Jaylen Carey is grabbing 6.5 rebounds. The Tennessee Volunteers are shooting 35 percent from beyond the arc and 68.9 percent from the free throw line. The Tennessee Volunteers are allowing 29.1 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 40.3 rebounds per game.
Florida Gators Betting Preview
The Florida Gators lost to Missouri, beat Georgia, and they play Oklahoma next. Florida has won 5 of its last 6 games.
The Florida Gators are averaging 84.8 points on 45.7 percent shooting and allowing 71.2 points on 40.7 percent shooting. Thomas Haugh is averaging 17.5 points and 6.8 rebounds, while Alex Condon is averaging 14.8 points and 8.6 rebounds. Xavian Lee is the third double-digit scorer and Boogie Fland is grabbing 2.3 rebounds. The Florida Gators are shooting 27.7 percent from beyond the arc and 70.3 percent from the free throw line. The Florida Gators are allowing 31.6 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.1 rebounds per game.
Why the Florida Gators will win
- Florida has won each of its last 14 games at Exactech Arena at Stephen C. O’Connell Center.
- Tennessee has lost each of its last four games at Exactech Arena at Stephen C. O’Connell Center following a home win.
- Florida has won the first half in each of its last 12 day games at Exactech Arena at Stephen C. O’Connell Center.
Why the Tennessee Volunteers will win
- Tennessee has won 31 of its last 35 games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
- Florida has lost three of its last four games against AP-ranked opponents.
- Tennessee has won the first half in 13 of its last 14 games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Florida’s last seven day games at Exactech Arena at Stephen C. O’Connell Center have produced a total of 150 or fewer points.
- Each of Tennessee’s last four games at Exactech Arena at Stephen C. O’Connell Center have produced a total of 145 or fewer points.
Matchup/League Facts
- Florida ranks 1st among Division 1 teams for rebounds per game this season (47.3).
- Florida ranks 1st among Division 1 teams for rebound percentage this season (60.4%).
- Tennessee is one of only four teams to reach the Elite 8 in each of its last two NCAA Tournament appearances.
- Tennessee ranks 5th among Division 1 teams for rebound percentage this season (59.1%).
Florida vs Tennessee Prediction
Florida is the better team on paper and home court matters, but the Gators have also underachieved up to this point, and that includes being 5-10 ATS. Tennessee is elite defensively and shoots the ball well enough to beat anybody when on. This is also a rivalry where Tennessee has won 5 of the last 8 meetings. Tennessee hasn’t been an underdog much this season, but does have a nice upset win over Houston earlier in the season. I’ll take a shot with the Vols and the points.
